Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 33

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Referee: Sesma Espinosa M. (Esp)


	Alcorcón		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	4.2	Watch
	2	2.85	4.1
	2.1	2.9	4	Watch
	2.13	2.88	4.73
	2.1	2.88	4.73
	2.07	2.9	4.46	Watch
	2.07	2.9	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.11)	2.89 ↓ (2.99)	4.33 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
45.4%

Draw
32.7%

Amorebieta
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

31.7%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

32.4%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Alcorcón - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Amorebieta will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz J. (G) 20. Lopez I. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 23. Chema 3. Morillas D. 17. Garcia V. 16. Perez J. 5. Mosquera P. 26. Addai E. 8. Rodriganez J. 9. Borrego C.	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 5. Bustinza U. 3. Etxeita X. 24. Gaya J. 2. Mier J. 15. Nunez A. 8. Moran E. 20. Sibo K. 22. Morcillo J. 7. Dorrio J. 9. Jauregi E.
Substitutes
13. Anacker L. (G) 22. Artola J. 6. Babin J. 24. Bilbao I. 2. Castro J. 14. Fede 28. Garrido J. 10. Juanma Bravo 15. Lara J. 21. Obieta K. 19. Quintilla X. 11. Sousa D.	30. Campos P. (G) 21. Carbonell A. 10. Edwards R. 14. Eraso J. 19. Locadia J. 1. Marino U. (G) 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I. 23. Unzueta I. 6. Yriarte J.
Coaches
Nafti M.	Jandro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Bustinza U. 🟨,
4', 1 - 0, Rodriganez J. ⚽,
6', Rivas Viondi O. 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, Jauregi E. ⚽, Moran E. (A),
27', Gaya J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chema ↓, Castro J. ↑,
53', Jandro 🟨,
60', Bustinza U. 🟨,
61', Borrego C. ↓, Obieta K. ↑,
61', Addai E. ↓, Fede ↑,
68', Moran E. ↓, Yriarte J. ↑,
77', Morcillo J. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
80', Rodriganez J. 🟨,
81', Mosquera P. ↓, Juanma Bravo ↑,
86', Dorrio J. ↓, Carbonell A. ↑,
86', Jauregi E. ↓, Unzueta I. ↑,
88', Lopez I. ↓, Artola J. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amorebieta is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcorcón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alcorcón will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
23.03.24	Alcorcón - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Sporting de Gijón - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Alcorcón - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
04.03.24	Elche - Alcorcón	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Alcorcón - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLTLT
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
24.03.24	Amorebieta - Sporting de Gijón	3:1 ✺
18.03.24	FC Andorra - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
11.03.24	Amorebieta - Leganés	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Zaragoza - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Amorebieta - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.23	Amorebieta - Alcorcón	1:2
20.03.22	Amorebieta - Alcorcón	0:0
07.11.21	Alcorcón - Amorebieta	2:2

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