Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 29

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday

Location: La Romareda (Zaragoza)

Referee: Alvendiz L. (Esp)


	Zaragoza		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	6.5	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5.5
	1.68	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.35	6.2
	1.68	3.43	6.83
	1.68	3.5	5.85	Watch
	1.66	3.35	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.55)	3.39 ↓ (3.83)	6.03 ↓ (7.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
56.5%

Draw
27.8%

Amorebieta
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

25.1%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

21.2%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zaragoza's form might have worsened.

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Zaragoza - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: Zaragoza will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Badia E. (G) 2. Zedadka A. 15. Mourino S. 24. Lopez L. 6. Frances A. 14. Francho 8. Aguado M. 21. Moya T. 7. Valera G. 11. Mesa M. 20. Mollejo V.	30. Campos P. (G) 15. Nunez A. 5. Bustinza U. 3. Etxeita X. 28. Garreta F. 7. Dorrio J. 20. Sibo K. 8. Moran E. 22. Morcillo J. 23. Unzueta I. 10. Edwards R.
Substitutes
9. Azon I. 23. Enrich S. 18. Gamez F. 5. Grau J. 3. Jair 22. Lecoeuche Q. 13. Poussin G. (G) 35. Rebollo D. (G) 29. Sans P. 41. Terrer L. 19. Vallejo M. 26. Vaquero	14. Eraso J. 24. Gaya J. 16. Lasure D. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 1. Marino U. (G) 2. Mier J. 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I. 6. Yriarte J.
Coaches
Velazquez J.	Jandro

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Amorebieta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zaragoza is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Zaragoza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
24.02.24	Villarreal B - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
16.02.24	Zaragoza - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Eibar - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
05.02.24	Zaragoza - Sporting de Gijón	3:0 ✺
27.01.24	Alcorcón - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLWT
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
25.02.24	Amorebieta - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Huesca - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Amorebieta - Elche	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Amorebieta - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Cartagena - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.12.23	Amorebieta - Zaragoza	1:1
25.03.22	Zaragoza - Amorebieta	1:1
28.11.21	Amorebieta - Zaragoza	1:1

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