Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 30

Date: 11 March 2024, Monday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Referee: Lax Franco S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports 4


	Amorebieta		Leganés

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2.25	Watch
	3.4	2.8	2.25
	3.6	2.9	2.25	Watch
	3.9	2.99	2.29
	3.86	2.99	2.3
	3.71	2.93	2.27	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.41)	2.93 ↓ (3.05)	2.27 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
25.9%

Draw
32.3%

Leganés
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

30.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

28.2%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.6%	22.9%	68.6%

Amorebieta - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 3 - 8.6%). Leganés will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 53.2% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Campos P. (G) 5. Bustinza U. 3. Etxeita X. 28. Garreta F. 16. Lasure D. 15. Nunez A. 20. Sibo K. 8. Moran E. 22. Morcillo J. 7. Dorrio J. 23. Unzueta I.	13. Alcoado D. J. C. (G) 21. Miramon 2. Nyom A. 3. Saenz J. 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 15. Franquesa E. 10. Raba D. 20. Undabarrena I. 17. Neyou Y. 7. Portillo F. 9. de la Fuente M.
Substitutes
21. Carbonell A. 10. Edwards R. 14. Eraso J. 24. Gaya J. 9. Jauregi E. 19. Locadia J. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 1. Marino U. (G) 2. Mier J. 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I. 6. Yriarte J.	4. Abzi D. 22. Arambarri A. 14. Brasanac D. 24. Chicco J. 32. Cisse S. 11. Cruz J. 23. Djouahra N. 19. Garcia D. 1. Jimenez D. (G) 5. Lopez B. 8. Perea L. 28. Urena O.
Coaches
Jandro	Jimenez B.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Leganés will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
03.03.24	Zaragoza - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Amorebieta - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Huesca - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Amorebieta - Elche	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Amorebieta - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.4 WTTWL
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
03.03.24	Leganés - Eibar	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Racing Santander - Leganés	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Leganés - Alcorcón	3:0 ✺
09.02.24	Levante - Leganés	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Leganés - Valladolid	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
15.10.23	Leganés - Amorebieta	6:0
21.02.22	Amorebieta - Leganés	1:3
18.09.21	Leganés - Amorebieta	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.01.14	Leganés - Amorebieta	4:0
31.08.13	Amorebieta - Leganés	0:0

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