Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Alcorcón		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	2.88
				Watch
	2.45	2.98	2.88
	2.49	2.95	3.09
	2.67	3.12	2.62	Watch
	2.45	2.86	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.67)	2.98 ↓ (3.12)	2.88 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
37.1%

Draw
30.9%

Atlético Madrid B
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29.8%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

30%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alcorcón - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Alcorcón (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcorcón (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 4. Rojas J. 19. Pola J. 3. Nieto S. 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 10. Ballesteros Y. 18. Aguado T. 22. Blanco R. 14. Vacas L. 21. Llorente R. 11. Kopotun V.	1. de Luis M. (G) 5. Martinez D. 18. Puric A. 3. Diaz J. 4. Bonar J. 15. Bellotti M. 6. Serrano J. 10. Belaid R. 23. Ortiz A. 7. Luque I. 30. Llorente M.
Substitutes
7. Aparicio E. 17. Lanchi 8. Martinez B. 13. Marti O. (G) 23. Navarro D. 6. Perez I. 24. Perez L. 15. Rodriguez S.	8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 29. Esteban S. 22. Gimenez C. 28. Hueso R. 11. Koke 26. Monserrate J. 33. Morales L. (G) 14. Morcillo J. 12. Spina G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Pola J. 🟥,
25', Serrano J. 🟨,
25', Vacas L. ↓, Perez I. ↑,
33', Blanco R. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
45+3', 0 - 1, Ortiz A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Serrano J. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
51', Llorente M. 🟨,
57', Domingo Ciuraneta P. 🟨,
61', Belaid R. ↓, Koke ↑,
61', Llorente M. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
66', Nieto S. ↓, Aparicio E. ↑,
66', Ballesteros Y. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
66', Llorente R. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
75', Luque I. ↓, Esteban S. ↑,
78', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
87', Morcillo J. 🟨,
88', Ortiz A. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Alcorcón has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Madrid B is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlético Madrid B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Alcorcón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Madrid B - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.45%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.11.25	Marbella - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Alcorcón - Sevilla B	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Algeciras - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Alcorcón - Sabadell	0:3 ✺
12.10.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTLLW
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.11.25	Atlético Madrid B - Eldense	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Madrid B	0:3 ✺
26.10.25	Atlético Madrid B - CE Europa	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Hércules - Atlético Madrid B	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Atlético Madrid B - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.01.25	Atlético Madrid B - Alcorcón	2:1
14.09.24	Alcorcón - Atlético Madrid B	2:3

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