Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)


	Alcorcón		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.33
	1.78	3.1	4.2
	1.82	3	4.65
	1.89	3	5.66
	1.96	2.87	4.64	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.62
	1.8	2.95	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.82)	3.02 ↓ (3.18)	4.64 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
49.8%

Draw
30.4%

Atlético Sanluqueño
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

28.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

31.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Alcorcón - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 3. Nieto S. 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 19. Pola J. 4. Rojas J. 5. Rai 10. Ballesteros Y. 14. Vacas L. 22. Blanco R. 8. Martinez B. 9. Carmona M.	1. Kudakovskiy P. (G) 4. Castellano A. 5. Trapero 2. Sola Villalba R. 3. Cabrera J. 21. Satoca D. 8. Gallastegui J. 16. Tounkara N. 9. Zequi 17. Rodri 19. Juarez A.
Substitutes
18. Aguado T. 7. Aparicio E. 11. Kopotun V. 17. Lanchi 13. Marti O. (G) 23. Navarro D. 6. Perez I. 24. Perez L. 15. Rodriguez S.	20. Arruabarrena J. 30. Barea P. 18. Diallo B. 13. Dominguez R. (G) 10. Feria J. 7. Kikin 11. Lorenzo O. 26. Morales L. 28. Moreno F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Ballesteros Y. 🟨,
19', Zequi ↓, Lorenzo O. ↑,
34', Sola Villalba R. 🟨,
41', Juarez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Ballesteros Y. ↓, Kopotun V. ↑,
62', Blanco R. ↓, Aguado T. ↑,
65', Gallastegui J. ↓, Arruabarrena J. ↑,
65', Juarez A. ↓, Morales L. ↑,
74', 🟨,
79', Vacas L. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
80', Nieto S. ↓, Lanchi ↑,
80', Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+6', Kikin 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Recent performances by Alcorcón have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sanluqueño is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Alcorcón is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Alcorcón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.09.25	Hércules - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Alcorcón - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Antequera - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.09.25	Alcorcón - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.09.25	Alcorcón - Teruel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTWLW
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.09.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
21.09.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Teruel	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:3 ✺
07.09.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Sabadell	2:2 ✺
01.09.25	Atlético Madrid B - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.04.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:1
14.12.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Alcorcón	1:2

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