Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 18

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Alcorcón		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.75	3.2
	2.38	2.82	3.15
	2.47	2.74	3.33	Watch
	2.38	2.63	3.1
	2.43	2.76	3.07
	2.36	2.71	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.36)	2.74 ↓ (2.88)	3.17 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
38.1%

Draw
33.2%

Cartagena
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

32.2%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

31.9%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Alcorcón - Cartagena Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 6. Perez I. 4. Rojas J. 15. Rodriguez S. 10. Ballesteros Y. (C) 18. Aguado T. 5. Rai 8. Martinez B. 11. Kopotun V. 9. Carmona M.	1. Martinez I. (G) 2. Jurado M. 15. Velez F. 5. Baz I. 3. Jimenez N. 20. Gomez D. 14. Alcaniz E. 6. Fidalgo A. 17. Sanchez K. 11. Redondo L. 9. Ortuno A. (C)
Substitutes
7. Aparicio E. 22. Blanco R. 21. Llorente R. 13. Marti O. (G) 23. Navarro D. 3. Nieto S. 24. Perez L. 19. Pola J. 28. Santana dos Santos E. L.	7. Calderon C. 19. Chiki 21. Chuca 8. De Blasis P. 13. Garcia L. (G) 10. Larrea P. 16. Martin A. 22. Martinez N. 18. Perejon D. 23. Sanchez N. 4. Serrano R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Ortuno A. ⚽,
24', Velez F. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
40', 1 - 1, Kopotun V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Jurado M. 🟨,
63', Ortuno A. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
63', Gomez D. ↓, Chiki ↑,
64', Alcaniz E. 🟨,
70', Martinez B. ↓, Aparicio E. ↑,
70', Ballesteros Y. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
74', Sanchez K. ↓, Larrea P. ↑,
74', Alcaniz E. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
76', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
81', Carmona M. ↓, Nieto S. ↑,
88', 🟨,
88', Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↓, Llorente R. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Alcorcón won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Alcorcon	6	3	3	0	13:4	9	12
5	FC Cartagena SAD	6	3	2	1	9:4	5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.12.25	Alcorcón - Ibiza	2:2 ✺
12.12.25	Betis B - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Alcorcón - Eldense	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Real Murcia - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alcorcón - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLTLW
- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.12.25	Cartagena - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
08.12.25	Cartagena - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Cartagena - Valencia	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.11.25	Betis B - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.05.24	Cartagena - Alcorcón	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Alcorcón - Cartagena	0:1 penalties
Spanish LaLiga2
23.10.23	Alcorcón - Cartagena	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
20.12.22	Alcorcón - Cartagena	1:2 penalties
Spanish LaLiga2
16.04.22	Cartagena - Alcorcón	3:1
12.12.21	Alcorcón - Cartagena	1:1
05.04.21	Cartagena - Alcorcón	2:1

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