Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Cartagena		Juventud de Torremolinos

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.5
	1.88	3.05	4.35
	1.85	3.11	4.82	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.4
	1.87	3.12	4.67
	1.76	3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.71)	3.03 ↓ (3.49)	4.58 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
49.8%

Draw
30.2%

Juventud de Torremolinos
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26.6%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

25.9%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Juventud de Torremolinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Cartagena - Juventud de Torremolinos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez I. (G) 18. Perejon D. 15. Velez F. 5. Baz I. 3. Jimenez N. 17. Sanchez K. 10. Larrea P. 11. Redondo L. 14. Alcaniz E. 16. Martin A. 9. Ortuno A.	1. Fran Martinez (G) 22. Roldan R. 15. Hernandez J. 5. Dani 4. Merida Palomino J. 7. Camacho A. 20. Gori 23. Lesedi S. A. 25. Diao U. 11. Ribeiro I. 9. Pito Camacho
Substitutes
7. Calderon C. 19. Chiki 21. Chuca 6. Fidalgo A. 13. Garcia L. (G) 20. Gomez D. . Jimeno G. 2. Jurado M. 30. Reyes J. (G) 23. Sanchez N. 4. Serrano R.	12. Ajegun Perez R. 24. Alonso J. 6. Climent A. 17. Escardo A. 18. Fernandez A. 10. Gallego Cea F. 19. Opara L. 8. Penarroya C. 14. Polo C. 26. Vila Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Jimenez N. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Ortuno A. ⚽,
18', Hernandez J. 🟨,
25', Roldan R. ↓, Ajegun Perez R. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hernandez J. ↓, Alonso J. ↑,
57', Velez F. 🟨,
59', Martin A. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
59', Larrea P. ↓, Fidalgo A. ↑,
59', Ortuno A. ↓, Chiki ↑,
71', Velez F. ↓, Chuca ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Redondo L. ⚽,
77', Sanchez K. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
82', Merida Palomino J. ↓, Penarroya C. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Baz I. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 15).

Recent form of Cartagena has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Torremolinos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Torremolinos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cartagena is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.12.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
08.12.25	Cartagena - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Cartagena - Valencia	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.11.25	Betis B - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Cartagena - Eldense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWT
- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.12.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Marbella	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Hércules - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Villarreal B	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	Teruel - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLWT

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