Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 24

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Alcorcón		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.75	2.7
	2.6	2.85	2.6
	2.79	3.05	2.69
	2.48	2.97	2.88	Watch
	2.74	2.87	2.82
	2.6	2.85	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.76)	2.89 ↑ (2.75)	2.72 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
34.6%

Draw
31.7%

Ceuta
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

33%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

34.2%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Alcorcón - Ceuta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Josele (G) 2. Sebastian J. 4. Rojas J. 19. Pola J. 30. Rodriguez S. 21. Llorente R. 12. Nunez J. 8. Ballesteros Y. 15. Manrique C. 11. Kopotun V. 7. Aparicio E.	13. Vallejo G. (G) 23. Almenara G. 4. Caparros A. 25. Cantero Y. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 3. Youness 5. Bellotti M. 7. Ahmed A. 8. Zalazar K. 22. Kone K. 11. Aquino D.
Substitutes
1. Ayesa G. (G) 16. Capitas M. 14. da Costa M. 22. Lachevre M. 28. Lhery Y. 17. Navarro S. 6. Ramos D. 10. Rodriguez R. 18. Stitch 3. Vilanova A.	28. Aniekan B. 20. Escudero A. 15. Guzman J. 12. Herranz Corral V. 19. Jamelli 21. Lopez J. 1. Lopez P. (G) 30. Montano A. 9. Rodri 10. Rodriguez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Almenara G. ↓, Escudero A. ↑,
45+1', Rojas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', 🟨,
63', Bellotti M. ↓, Jamelli ↑,
63', Aquino D. ↓, Rodri ↑,
68', Aparicio E. 🟨,
71', Aparicio E. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
73', Cantero Y. 🟨,
73', Rodri 🟨,
74', Youness 🟨,
75', Sebastian J. ↓, Ramos D. ↑,
82', Zalazar K. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
82', Kone K. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
88', Llorente R. ↓, Capitas M. ↑,
88', Ballesteros Y. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceuta is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.02.25	Mérida AD - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Alcorcón - Recreativo Huelva	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Atlético Madrid B - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
17.01.25	Alcorcón - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Marbella - Alcorcón	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLWT
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.02.25	Ceuta - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Ceuta - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Recreativo Huelva - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Ceuta - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.11.24	Ceuta - Alcorcón	0:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.03.23	Alcorcón - Ceuta	2:2
23.10.22	Ceuta - Alcorcón	1:2

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