Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Nuevo Colombino (Huelva)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Recreativo Huelva		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	1.91	2.9	3.9
	2	3	3.4
	1.98	2.7	3.5
	2	3.05	3.89
	2.01	3.02	3.88	Watch
	2.03	2.97	3.96
	1.98	2.7	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.78)	2.91 ↑ (2.7)	3.72 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recreativo Huelva
45.1%

Draw
30.8%

Ceuta
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

32.7%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

32.2%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recreativo Huelva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Recreativo Huelva's performance.

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceuta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Recreativo Huelva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceuta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Recreativo Huelva - Ceuta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Recreativo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galvez R. (G) 18. Perejon D. 4. Serrano R. 20. Becken C. 22. Navas R. 26. Davinchi 14. Del Pozo D. 21. Camara M. 8. Luis Alcalde 9. Quintana C. 7. Romero P.	1. Lopez P. (G) 23. Almenara G. 6. Hernandez C. 25. Cantero Y. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 7. Ahmed A. 5. Bellotti M. 12. Herranz Corral V. 19. Jamelli 22. Kone K. 11. Aquino D.
Substitutes
15. Armero S. 16. Bahachille A. 11. Bekkouche C. 13. Centurion G. (G) 17. Cerrudo J. 10. Dominguez A. 5. Galvez R. 19. Garcia Perez J. L. 24. Moreno Meca C. 12. Nico Njalla 2. Pablo J. P. C. 23. Soto D.	28. Aniekan B. 14. Blesa Alex 18. El Ftouhi S. 20. Escudero A. 15. Guzman J. 21. Lopez J. 9. Rodri 10. Rodriguez C. 13. Vallejo G. (G) 3. Youness

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Luis Alcalde 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Davinchi ⚽, Luis Alcalde (A),
44', Davinchi 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Redruello Nimo C. ↓, Youness ↑,
46', Herranz Corral V. ↓, Rodri ↑,
48', Almenara G. 🟨,
58', Jamelli ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
63', Romero P. ↓, Garcia Perez J. L. ↑,
63', Luis Alcalde ↓, Nico Njalla ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Youness ⚽,
75', Serrano R. 🟨,
78', Quintana C. ↓, Armero S. ↑,
84', Ahmed A. 🟨,
84', Davinchi ↓, Bekkouche C. ↑,
86', Kone K. ↓, Guzman J. ↑,
90', Navas R. 🟨,
90+2', Garcia Perez J. L. 🟨,
90+3', Aquino D. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Recreativo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceuta is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Recreativo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Recreativo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.01.25	Recreativo Huelva - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Ibiza - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Recreativo Huelva - Marbella	1:3 ✺
15.12.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Recreativo Huelva	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Recreativo Huelva - Intercity	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTLLW
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.01.25	Ceuta - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
22.12.24	Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
13.12.24	Antequera - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Ceuta - Ibiza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.09.24	Ceuta - Recreativo Huelva	1:0
25.02.24	Recreativo Huelva - Ceuta	2:1
03.09.23	Ceuta - Recreativo Huelva	0:0

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