Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Alcorcón		Recreativo Huelva

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.88
	2.35	2.9	2.8
	2.38	2.95	2.85
	2.48	3.05	3.03
	2.37	3.12	2.89	Watch
	2.33	3.32	2.84
	2.38	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (3.06)	3.04 ↓ (3.13)	2.88 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
38.2%

Draw
30%

Recreativo Huelva
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

28.5%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

27.8%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcorcón's performance.

Recreativo Huelva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Recreativo Huelva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcorcón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Recreativo Huelva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcorcón - Recreativo Huelva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Josele (G) 30. Rodriguez S. 27. Santiago A. 4. Rojas J. 5. Rentero J. 15. Manrique C. 16. Capitas M. 23. Navarro D. 8. Ballesteros Y. 14. da Costa M. 11. Kopotun V.	1. Galvez R. (G) 20. Becken C. 4. Serrano R. 22. Navas R. 18. Perejon D. 14. Del Pozo D. 8. Luis Alcalde 21. Camara M. 26. Davinchi 19. Garcia Perez J. L. 9. Quintana C.
Substitutes
1. Ayesa G. (G) 22. Lachevre M. 21. Llorente R. 17. Navarro S. 6. Ramos D. 10. Rodriguez R. 18. Stitch 3. Vilanova A.	15. Armero S. 6. Bahachille A. 11. Bekkouche C. 13. Centurion G. (G) 17. Cerrudo J. 24. Moreno Meca C. 12. Nico Njalla 7. Romero P. 23. Soto D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Perejon D. ↓, Cerrudo J. ↑,
45+1', Rentero J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', da Costa M. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
46', Capitas M. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
47', Santiago A. 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Navarro S. ⚽,
54', Navarro D. 🟨,
60', Garcia Perez J. L. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
66', Camara M. 🟨,
72', Camara M. ↓, Nico Njalla ↑,
72', Becken C. ↓, Romero P. ↑,
72', Luis Alcalde ↓, Moreno Meca C. ↑,
76', Navarro D. ↓, Ramos D. ↑,
81', Quintana C. 🟨,
84', Manrique C. 🟨,
87', Rodriguez R. ↓, Llorente R. ↑,
90+4', Serrano R. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recreativo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.01.25	Atlético Madrid B - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
17.01.25	Alcorcón - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Marbella - Alcorcón	3:3 ✺
22.12.24	Alcorcón - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTLW
- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.01.25	Recreativo Huelva - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Recreativo Huelva - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Ibiza - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Recreativo Huelva - Marbella	1:3 ✺
15.12.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Recreativo Huelva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.10.24	Recreativo Huelva - Alcorcón	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
08.03.15	Alcorcón - Recreativo Huelva	1:1
05.10.14	Recreativo Huelva - Alcorcón	2:1
02.02.14	Recreativo Huelva - Alcorcón	2:1
01.09.13	Alcorcón - Recreativo Huelva	3:0
10.03.13	Alcorcón - Recreativo Huelva	2:1
06.10.12	Recreativo Huelva - Alcorcón	4:2

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