Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Alcorcón		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.88	3.7
	1.98	2.98	4.05
	2.13	2.91	3.95
	2.28	2.72	3.72	Watch
	2.05	2.98	3.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.06)	2.89 ↓ (3.09)	3.86 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
44%

Draw
32%

Sabadell
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

29.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

29.5%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Alcorcón - Sabadell Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 6. Perez I. 19. Pola J. 4. Rojas J. 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 5. Rai (C) 22. Blanco R. 23. Navarro D. 15. Rodriguez S. 11. Kopotun V. 9. Carmona M.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 14. Astals D. 15. Lazaro Cervera J. C. 5. Arthur 4. Garcia C. 23. Priego J. 20. Orriols Cerarols A. 22. Liameed Q. 19. Lopez J. 9. Rodri 17. Coscia A.
Substitutes
18. Aguado T. 10. Ballesteros Y. 17. Lanchi 21. Llorente R. 8. Martinez B. 13. Marti O. (G) 3. Nieto S. 24. Perez L. 14. Vacas L.	2. Aleman C. 8. Cortes S. 11. Martinez R. 13. Ortega J. (G) 18. Ortega J. 10. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 7. Ripoll T. 21. Sergi 29. Utges J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Lopez J. ⚽,
31', Garcia C. ↓, Sergi ↑,
44', Kopotun V. ↓, Aparicio E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Navarro D. ↓, Vacas L. ↑,
46', Astals D. ↓, Ripoll T. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Lopez J. ⚽,
57', 0 - 3, Coscia A. ⚽,
60', Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
60', Pola J. ↓, Lanchi ↑,
60', Vacas L. 🟨,
63', Liameed Q. ↓, Cortes S. ↑,
71', Rojas J. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
85', Rodri ↓, Ramirez Carrasco M. A. ↑,
85', Lopez J. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
90+3', Coscia A. 🟨,
90+5', Rodriguez S. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 4.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Alcorcón will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Alcorcón won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.10.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Hércules - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Alcorcón - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Antequera - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTTTW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.10.25	Sabadell - Teruel	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Antequera - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Sabadell - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Sabadell - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Algeciras - Sabadell	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.05.21	Alcorcón - Sabadell	2:0
09.12.20	Sabadell - Alcorcón	1:1
09.05.15	Sabadell - Alcorcón	0:1
07.12.14	Alcorcón - Sabadell	3:2
20.04.14	Alcorcón - Sabadell	3:1
16.11.13	Sabadell - Alcorcón	1:2
08.06.13	Alcorcón - Sabadell	4:0

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