Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 21

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Alcorcón B		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.85	2
	3.65	2.9	2.2
	3.66	2.92	2.13
	3.68	2.98	2.09
	3.85	2.95	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (2.75)	2.92 ↑ (2.7)	2.09 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón B
24.7%

Draw
31.4%

CD Guadalajara
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcorcón B's form might have worsened.

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcorcón B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CD Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcorcón B - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Guadalajara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcorcón B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcorcón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.02.23	Socuéllamos - Alcorcón B	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Alcorcón B - Diocesano	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Cacereño - Alcorcón B	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Villanovense - Alcorcón B	3:0 ✺
08.01.23	Alcorcón B - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWTLT
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.02.23	CD Guadalajara - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Montijo - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	CD Guadalajara - Coria	4:0 ✺
15.01.23	CD Guadalajara - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - CD Guadalajara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.09.22	CD Guadalajara - Alcorcón B	1:1
Club Friendly
26.07.19	Alcorcón B - CD Guadalajara	4:0

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