Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 9

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Montijo		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.25
	2.9	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.84	3.11	2.31
	2.99	2.93	2.45
	2.85	3.16	2.3
	2.85	3.25	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.22)	3.14 ↑ (3)	2.31 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montijo
31.8%

Draw
28.9%

CD Guadalajara
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

30.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montijo's form might have worsened.

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montijo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CD Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montijo - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Montijo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Guadalajara is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Guadalajara have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Montijo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Montijo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.10.23	Unión Adarve - Montijo	2:2 ✺
14.10.23	Montijo - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Mensajero - Montijo	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Montijo - Getafe B	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Villanovense - Montijo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTTLL
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Cacereño - CD Guadalajara	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
11.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
04.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.01.23	Montijo - CD Guadalajara	1:1
10.09.22	CD Guadalajara - Montijo	3:1

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