Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 19

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Alcorcón B		Diocesano

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	2.85
	2.45	3	3
	2.38	2.95	2.9
	2.32	2.98	3.21
	2.4	2.79	3.22
	2.4	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.88)	2.93 ↑ (2.7)	3.01 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón B
38.4%

Draw
31.2%

Diocesano
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

33.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

32%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcorcón B's performance.

Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcorcón B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Alcorcón B - Diocesano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Alcorcón B has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Diocesano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcorcón B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcorcón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.01.23	Cacereño - Alcorcón B	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Villanovense - Alcorcón B	3:0 ✺
08.01.23	Alcorcón B - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Melilla - Alcorcón B	2:0 ✺
10.12.22	Alcorcón B - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTLL
- CD Diocesano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.01.23	Diocesano - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Diocesano - Montijo	3:2 ✺
07.01.23	Coria - Diocesano	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
20.12.22	Diocesano - Getafe	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.12.22	Diocesano - Don Benito	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.09.22	Diocesano - Alcorcón B	1:1

Alcorcón B - Diocesano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide