Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 20Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday
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 |
|
 |
|
|
Diocesano |
|
Montijo |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.92 |
3 |
2.28 |
|
 |
2.91 |
2.99 |
2.47 |
|
 |
3.22 |
3.1 |
2.2 |
 Watch |
 |
2.75 |
3.1 |
2.38 |
|
 |
2.81 |
3.38 |
2.39 |
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3 |
3 |
2.3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.84) |
3.1 ↑
(2.87) |
2.34 ↓
(2.46) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Diocesano
31.2% | Draw
29.6% | Montijo
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)Diocesano - Montijo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Trinidad J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 1.Diocesano is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Montijo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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