Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 25

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday


	Alcorcón B		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.95	2.05
	3.3	2.9	2.15
	3.43	2.95	2.24
	3.25	3.13	2.18
	3.3	3.05	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (4.7)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.15 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón B
27.4%

Draw
30.3%

Gimnástica Segoviana
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

29.3%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

29.2%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcorcón B's performance.

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástica Segoviana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcorcón B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástica Segoviana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcorcón B - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Alcorcón B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gimnástica Segoviana is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Gimnástica Segoviana is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcorcón B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcorcón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.03.23	Estepona - Alcorcón B	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Alcorcón B - Atlético Madrid B	3:3 ✺
19.02.23	Unión Adarve - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Alcorcón B - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	Socuéllamos - Alcorcón B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTLLT
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.03.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:0 ✺
26.02.23	Montijo - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Coria	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Don Benito - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Leganés B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.10.22	Gimnástica Segoviana - Alcorcón B	4:2

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