Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 18

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Alcorcón		Elche

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.2	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.35	3.2	2.41
	3.35	3.18	2.41
	3.13	3.24	2.31	Watch
	3.2	3.05	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (3.07)	3.14 ↑ (3.11)	2.33 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
29.3%

Draw
30.1%

Elche
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

30.4%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

31%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Alcorcón - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Elche will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz J. (G) 20. Lopez I. 2. Castro J. 23. Chema 19. Quintilla X. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 5. Mosquera P. 22. Artola J. 9. Borrego C. 8. Rodriganez J. 11. Sousa D.	1. San Roman M. (G) 17. Josan 2. Mario Gaspar 6. Bigas P. (C) 23. Clerc C. 11. Tete Morente 14. Febas A. 21. Castro N. 22. Mercau N. 19. El Ghezouani M. 7. Plano O.
Substitutes
26. Addai E. 13. Anacker L. (G) 7. Bustos A. 29. Callis E. 18. Eteki Y. 15. Lara J. 14. Lopez A. 3. Morillas D. 21. Obieta K. 16. Perez J.	13. Badia E. (G) 3. Blanco L. 24. Carreira S. 16. Fidel 18. Garces B. 4. Gonzalez D. 9. Leon S. 30. Mendoza R. 12. Salinas J. 20. Salvador C.
Coaches
Fernandez F.	Beccacece S.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 1.

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Elche is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
26.11.23	Espanyol - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Alcorcón - Sporting de Gijón	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Burgos - Alcorcón	4:2 ✺
05.11.23	Alcorcón - Racing Santander	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Navalcarnero - Alcorcón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLWW
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
26.11.23	Elche - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Espanyol - Elche	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Elche - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Albacete Balompié - Elche	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	CE Europa - Elche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.08.23	Elche - Alcorcón	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
19.01.20	Elche - Alcorcón	1:1
24.08.19	Alcorcón - Elche	1:2
23.03.19	Elche - Alcorcón	3:1
18.11.18	Alcorcón - Elche	1:0
10.03.17	Elche - Alcorcón	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
11.10.16	Elche - Alcorcón	0:1

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