Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	CE Europa		Elche

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	2.1
	3.6	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.74	3.09	2.04
	3.7	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.94	3.32	1.97	Watch
	3.65	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↓ (5.64)	3.23 ↓ (3.58)	2.04 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CE Europa
25.2%

Draw
28.9%

Elche
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

26.2%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

25.6%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CE Europa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CE Europa's performance.

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CE Europa than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CE Europa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

CE Europa - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: Elche will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vito Marc 5. Campeny A. 3. Mario Domingo 4. Cano A. (C) 17. Castell G. 14. Pla A. 7. Javier Eslava 16. Lopez Pau 20. Noel Carbonell 18. Gene A. 10. Victor Aliaga	13. Badia E. (G) 34. Pamies J. 4. Gonzalez D. 15. Alex Martin 3. Blanco L. 24. Carreira S. 20. Salvador C. 32. Boayar A. 8. Guti R. 19. El Ghezouani M. 30. Mendoza R.
Substitutes
25. Alvaro Rodriguez 19. Bermudez Sergio 99. Bezis 13. Joel Ruiz 22. Manel Lozano 11. Marti A. 12. Michael Makuemimo 9. Pablo Servetti 21. Santi Boriko 98. Sicu 6. Vales M.	29. Al N. 99. Castella D. 21. Castro N. 98. Houary A. 2. Mario Gaspar 22. Mercau N. 7. Plano O. 1. San Roman M. (G) 11. Tete Morente

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Europa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Elche is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Europa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.10.23	La Nucía - CE Europa	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	CE Europa - Hércules	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Valencia B - CE Europa	0:0 ✺
08.10.23	Cerdanyola del Vallès - CE Europa	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	CE Europa - Penya Independent	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWTWW
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
28.10.23	Elche - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Huesca - Elche	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Eldense - Elche	1:1 ✺
09.10.23	Elche - FC Andorra	2:1 ✺
04.10.23	Sporting de Gijón - Elche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTWL

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