Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 22

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Sanchez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Australia	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Elche		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.73	3.25	5
	1.75	3.4	5	Watch
	1.85	3.26	4.82
	1.8	3.36	4.74	Watch
	1.83	3.25	4.6
	1.76	3.52	5	Watch
	1.75	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.85)	3.36 ↑ (3.32)	4.96 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
53%

Draw
28%

Zaragoza
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

28.3%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	8.3%	33.3%

Elche - Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dituro M. (G) 15. Nunez A. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. 12. Salinas J. 17. Josan 14. Febas A. 21. Castro N. 24. Santiago Y. 10. Mercau N. 19. El Ghezouani M.	13. Poussin G. (G) 15. Vital B. 24. Lopez L. 5. Clemente E. 19. Calero I. 6. Bare K. 8. Aguado M. 4. Tasende D. 23. Aketxe A. 9. Azon I. 33. Liso A.
Substitutes
16. Alex Martin 9. Alvarez A. 4. Diaby B. 5. Donald J. 8. Guti R. 31. Hernandez G. 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 36. Nunez R. 11. Rashani E. 1. San Roman M. (G)	1. Alvarez C. (G) 20. Ares A. 36. Barrachina H. 10. Bermejo 25. Femenias J. (G) 3. Jair 2. Luna M. 22. Mari A. 21. Moya T. 17. Nieto C. 29. Sans P. 34. Terrer L.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Ramirez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Aguado M. 🟨,
21', Tasende D. 🟨,
26', Liso A. 🟨,
39', Josan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Nunez A. 🟨,
59', Santiago Y. ↓, Rashani E. ↑,
68', Josan ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
68', Castro N. ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
68', Salinas J. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
72', Clemente E. 🟨,
74', Aguado M. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
74', Aketxe A. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
75', Mercau N. 🟨,
80', El Ghezouani M. 🟨,
82', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
84', Azon I. ↓, Mari A. ↑,
84', Liso A. ↓, Ares A. ↑,
90', Bare K. ↓, Jair ↑,
90+2', Mari A. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 0, Rashani E. ⚽, Mendoza R. (A),
90+5', Rashani E. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elche won 1.

Elche in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zaragoza is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Elche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Elche is a favorite.

There will not play in Zaragoza: Bazdar S. (Muscle Injury) Borge A. (Knee Injury) Soberon M. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Zaragoza: Kosa S. (Muscle Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Elche won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12:18 (average 0.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Elche - Las Palmas	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Castellón - Elche	0:2 ✺
19.12.24	Elche - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Eldense - Elche	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Elche - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWTW
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.24	Zaragoza - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
17.12.24	Zaragoza - Real Oviedo	2:3 ✺
14.12.24	Eibar - Zaragoza	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Zaragoza - Granada	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.09.24	Zaragoza - Elche	3:0
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Elche - Zaragoza	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
14.04.24	Zaragoza - Elche	1:1
11.11.23	Elche - Zaragoza	2:0
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Elche - Zaragoza	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
16.08.20	Zaragoza - Elche	0:1
13.08.20	Elche - Zaragoza	0:0

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