Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 17

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)

Referee: Sanchez Lopez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Levante		Burgos

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	5.75	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.8
	1.72	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.61	5.75
	1.72	3.53	5.37	Watch
	1.72	3.84	4.77	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.6)	3.57 ↓ (3.79)	5.13 ↓ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levante
55.2%

Draw
26.5%

Burgos
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24.6%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23.6%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Levante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	33.3%	5.6%

Levante - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Levante will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Burgos will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levante: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Garcia A. 5. Elgezabal U. 4. Dela 29. Navarro M. 6. Kochorashvili G. 8. Algobia A. 7. Brugue R. 23. Martinez P. (C) 11. Morales J. 9. Romero I.	13. Cantero A. (G) 20. Pipa 27. Lopez D. 18. Aitor Cordoba (C) 3. Miguel F. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. 11. Alex 16. Curro 7. Ojeda D. 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D.
Substitutes
24. Alvarez C. 14. Cabello J. 17. Clemente O. 38. Espi C. 12. Fabricio 30. Fernandez V. 21. Lozano S. 36. Pastor A. (G) 20. Rey O. 16. Varela Pampin D. 31. Xavi Grande	4. Arroyo A. 1. Badiashile L. (G) 28. Cantero M. 21. Cordoba I. 33. Exposito M. 38. Forns I. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 17. Lopez J. 9. Nino F. 39. Nsukula G. 32. Pascual H. 10. Sanchez B.
Coaches
Calero J.	Ramis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Curro ⚽, Alex (A),
35', 1 - 1, Morales J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Algobia A. ↓, Rey O. ↑,
59', Brugue R. ↓, Alvarez C. ↑,
59', Navarro M. ↓, Varela Pampin D. ↑,
60', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Nino F. ↑,
61', Ojeda D. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
75', Morales J. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
75', Martinez P. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
79', Miguel F. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
80', Morante I. ↓, Cantero M. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Espi C. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
87', Atienza M. ↓, Nsukula G. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Espi C. ⚽, Lozano S. (A),

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Levante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Levante is a favorite.

There will not play in Levante: Iborra V. (Heel Injury)

There will not play in Burgos: Appin K. (Knee Injury) Cordoba I. (Knock) Forns I. (Injury) Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Injury) Navarro R. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Levante won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Levante won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
27.11.24	Levante - Málaga	4:2 ✺
22.11.24	Ferrol - Levante	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
19.11.24	Pontevedra - Levante	4:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
16.11.24	Levante - Elche	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Granada - Levante	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTLTW
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
23.11.24	Burgos - Eibar	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Racing Santander - Burgos	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Burgos - Sporting de Gijón	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Real Oviedo - Burgos	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Móstoles URJC - Burgos	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
16.03.24	Burgos - Levante	1:1
19.08.23	Levante - Burgos	3:2
29.01.23	Levante - Burgos	1:0
25.09.22	Burgos - Levante	0:0

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