Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 3

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Fuentes Molina A. (Esp)


	Valladolid		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	4.75	Watch
	1.89	3.15	4.6
	1.93	3.3	4.75
	1.85	3.36	4.55	Watch
	1.9	3.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.66)	3.26 ↓ (3.49)	4.59 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
50.3%

Draw
29.1%

Alcorcón
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

26.9%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

26.1%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valladolid's form might have worsened.

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	6.7%	0%

Valladolid - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: Valladolid will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. John Victor (G) 2. Perez L. 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 15. Gustavo Henrique 18. Escudero S. 16. de la Hoz C. 8. Monchu 11. Moro R. 10. Sanchez I. 24. Kenedy 35. Bikoue	1. Ruiz J. (G) 20. Lopez I. 2. Castro J. 6. Babin J. 3. Morillas D. 8. Rodriganez J. 18. Eteki Y. 5. Mosquera P. 26. Addai E. 21. Obieta K. 9. Borrego C.
Substitutes
31. Aceves A. (G) 23. Anuar 6. Boyomo F. 37. Frimpong E. 20. Juric S. 7. Leon S. 21. Montiel J. 29. Munoz I. G. 22. Rosa L. 36. Tunde Akinsola	13. Anacker L. (G) 22. Artola J. 7. Bustos A. 23. Chema 17. Garcia V. 10. Juanma Bravo 15. Lara J. 14. Lopez A. 19. Quintilla X. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 11. Sousa D.
Coaches
Pezzolano P.	Fernandez F.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Alcorcón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Alcorcón have a series of guest games.

In this match Valladolid is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
18.08.23	Zaragoza - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
11.08.23	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Valladolid - AVS	3:3 ✺
02.08.23	Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano	3:2 ✺
29.07.23	Mirandés - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTWL
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
19.08.23	Alcorcón - Leganés	0:2 ✺
14.08.23	Mirandés - Alcorcón	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Albacete Balompié - Alcorcón	0:1 ✺
02.08.23	Elche - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Alcorcón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
27.03.22	Alcorcón - Valladolid	1:2
26.09.21	Valladolid - Alcorcón	2:0
10.03.18	Alcorcón - Valladolid	0:0
12.10.17	Valladolid - Alcorcón	4:0
19.03.17	Alcorcón - Valladolid	1:2
08.10.16	Valladolid - Alcorcón	2:0
30.01.16	Alcorcón - Valladolid	0:0

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