Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 1

Date: 11 August 2023, Friday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Referee: Monescillo D. (Esp)


	Amorebieta		Levante

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.4	Watch
	3	2.95	2.3
	3.2	2.95	2.43
	3.24	3.14	2.5
	3.1	3.14	2.4	Watch
	3.05	3.05	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (4.08)	3.08 ↓ (3.31)	2.41 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
30.5%

Draw
30.5%

Levante
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

27.9%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

25.9%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amorebieta's performance.

Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Levante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amorebieta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	35.3%	52.9%

Amorebieta - Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Levante will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levante: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Campos P. (G) 2. Mier J. 4. Manu 3. Etxeita X. 11. Seguin I. (C) 27. Quintero L. 20. Sibo K. 21. Carbonell A. 17. Rodriguez R. 10. Edwards R. 9. Jauregi E.	1. Femenias J. (G) 14. Vezo R. 15. Postigo S. (C) 4. De La Fuente A. 3. Munoz A. 21. Lozano S. 6. Kochorashvili G. 20. Rey O. 17. Clemente O. 11. Cantero A. 22. Bouldini M.
Substitutes
7. Dorrio J. 14. Eraso J. 28. Garreta F. M. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 1. Marino U. (G) 8. Moran E. 15. Nunez A.	27. Alcaniz E. 26. Benitez Royo C. 7. Brugue R. 13. Cardenas D. (G) 30. Garcia A. 19. Ibanez R. 29. Navarro M. 31. Xavi Grande
Coaches
Mujika H.	Calleja J.

Preview

Amorebieta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Levante is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Levante have a series of home games.

Levante will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Amorebieta to win the game is with odds 3.26.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Racing Santander - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Sestao - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
26.07.23	Amorebieta - Eibar	2:1 ✺
22.07.23	Burgos - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
19.07.23	Amorebieta - Osasuna B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWW
- Levante UD
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Leganés - Levante	2:0 ✺
28.07.23	Levante - Qatar SC	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	Levante - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Levante - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
17.06.23	Levante - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLTL

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