Match Info

Date: 3 January 2022, Monday


	Alcorcón		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.8	3.4	Watch
	2.55	2.75	2.8
	2.7	2.9	2.85	Watch
	2.37	2.7	3.45
	2.5	2.91	3.53
	2.45	2.8	3.2	Watch
	2.46	2.81	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.78)	2.81 ↓ (2.92)	3.24 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
37.6%

Draw
33.4%

Málaga
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

31.8%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

22.5%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Málaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcorcón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.4%	47.4%	28.2%

Alcorcón - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 19 - 24.4%). Málaga will win (votes: 22 - 28.2%). It will Tie (votes: 37 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.3% – 58.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Alcorcón has the most likely position - 22 (60.03%), has project points - 33, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (92%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Málaga has the most likely position - 15 (8.74%), has project points - 52, has currently - 27, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Málaga is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Alcorcón have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
19.12.21	Huesca - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.21	Sporting de Gijón - Alcorcón	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
12.12.21	Alcorcón - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Real Oviedo - Alcorcón	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Teruel - Alcorcón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLTLW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
18.12.21	Málaga - Leganés	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.12.21	Rayo Majadahonda - Málaga	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
11.12.21	Eibar - Málaga	2:2 ✺
05.12.21	Málaga - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.21	Peña Sport - Málaga	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
27.08.21	Málaga - Alcorcón	1:0
30.01.21	Alcorcón - Málaga	0:1
26.09.20	Málaga - Alcorcón	1:0
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Málaga - Alcorcón	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
17.07.20	Málaga - Alcorcón	2:0
17.11.19	Alcorcón - Málaga	1:0
19.04.19	Alcorcón - Málaga	1:4

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