Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 38

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Bestard Servera L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eibar		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	2.02	3.15	3.65	Watch
	2.12	3.3	3.94
	2.03	3.28	3.92	Watch
	2.05	3	3.7
	2.05	3.21	3.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.07)	3.19 ↓ (3.31)	3.76 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
45.7%

Draw
29.4%

Málaga
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

28.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

27.7%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Eibar - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 2. Cubero S. 4. Arambarri A. 15. Jair 23. Arbilla A. (C) 14. Olaetxea L. 6. Alvarez S. 18. Ares A. 16. Madariaga A. 17. Corpas J. 9. Bautista J.	1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 16. Murillo D. 4. Galilea E. 31. Rafita 10. Larrubia D. 23. Merino I. 37. Rodriguez R. 11. Munoz J. 12. Dotor C. 9. Chupe
Substitutes
3. Arrillaga H. 24. Bernat J. 27. Garcia H. 30. Garrido A. 20. Javier Marton 34. Llorente O. 1. Lopez L. (G) 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 5. Martinez J. 22. Rodriguez A. 19. Villa T.	7. Abaida H. 5. Brasanac D. 6. Enriquez R. 2. Gabilondo J. 14. Garcia V. 17. Jauregi E. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 20. Montero J. 21. Nino A. 35. Ochoa A. 36. Recio A.
Coaches
San Jose B.	Funes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', Corpas J. 🟨,
7', Olaetxea L. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Chupe (Penalty Awarded),
19', Merino I. 🟨,
20', 1 - 1, Alvarez S. ⚽, Arambarri A. (A),
32', 2 - 1, Corpas J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Merino I. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
62', Larrubia D. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
62', Rodriguez R. ↓, Abaida H. ↑,
63', Olaetxea L. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
64', Ares A. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Nino A. ⚽, Chupe (A),
70', Chupe ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
73', Dotor C. 🟨,
78', 2 - 3, Brasanac D. ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
79', Cubero S. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
79', Madariaga A. ↓, Garrido A. ↑,
84', 2 - 4, Nino A. ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
85', Corpas J. ↓, Bernat J. ↑,
85', Munoz J. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
90+2', Murillo D. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 2.

Eibar has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Málaga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Eibar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Eibar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Eibar: Guruzeta J. (Muscle Injury) Moreno M. (Injury) Nolaskoain P. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Dorrio J. (Muscle Injury) Juanpe (Injury) Lorenzo D. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eibar	8	7	0	1	18:7	11	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
24.04.26	Albacete Balompié - Eibar	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	Eibar - Huesca	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Valladolid - Eibar	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Eibar - Ceuta	3:0 ✺
02.04.26	Real Sociedad B - Eibar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTWW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
25.04.26	Málaga - Castellón	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Almería - Málaga	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Málaga - Las Palmas	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Málaga	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	FC Andorra - Málaga	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
16.08.25	Málaga - Eibar	1:1
21.04.25	Eibar - Málaga	2:2
27.10.24	Málaga - Eibar	1:0
15.01.23	Eibar - Málaga	2:1
30.10.22	Málaga - Eibar	0:1
23.04.22	Málaga - Eibar	1:3
11.12.21	Eibar - Málaga	2:2

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