Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Málaga		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.1	4
	1.9	3.15	4.6	Watch
	1.92	3.1	4.2
	1.96	3.21	4.79
	1.75	3.25	5	Watch
	1.98	3.18	4.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.7)	3.18 ↓ (3.64)	4.46 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
49.3%

Draw
29.6%

Amorebieta
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

26.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.6%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Málaga's form might have worsened.

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Málaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amorebieta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Málaga - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Málaga has the most likely position - 15 (7.22%), has project points - 55, has currently - 26, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Amorebieta has the most likely position - 21 (20.46%), has project points - 41, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Málaga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Málaga is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.21	Peña Sport - Málaga	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
27.11.21	Burgos - Málaga	3:0 ✺
20.11.21	Málaga - Las Palmas	2:1 ✺
15.11.21	Málaga - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Cartagena - Málaga	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWL
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	CE Europa - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.11.21	Amorebieta - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
20.11.21	Real Oviedo - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
14.11.21	Amorebieta - Lugo	1:3 ✺
07.11.21	Alcorcón - Amorebieta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLLT

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