Match Info

Date: 14 February 2021, Sunday


	Alcorcón		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.8	4.33	Watch
	2	2.9	4.4
	2.1	3	3.95	Watch
	2.11	2.8	4
	2.23	2.95	4.14
	2.05	3	4	Watch
	2.1	3.04	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.03)	2.93 ↓ (3)	4.13 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
45%

Draw
32.2%

UD Logroñés
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

31.3%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

21%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcorcón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Logroñés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	23.7%	23.7%

Alcorcón - UD Logroñés Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 20 - 52.6%). Logroñés will win (votes: 9 - 23.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 23.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcorcón: 36.7% – 68.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Alcorcón has a good chance of relegated (75%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Logroñés has a chance of relegated (33%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Alcorcón has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Logroñés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Logroñés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alcorcón is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
08.02.21	Ponferradina - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
30.01.21	Alcorcón - Málaga	0:1 ✺
26.01.21	Alcorcón - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
22.01.21	Fuenlabrada - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.01.21	Alcorcón - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL
- UD Logroñés
Spanish LaLiga2
06.02.21	UD Logroñés - Sporting de Gijón	0:4 ✺
01.02.21	Sabadell - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
24.01.21	UD Logroñés - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
08.01.21	Zaragoza - UD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
02.01.21	UD Logroñés - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.11.20	UD Logroñés - Alcorcón	1:0

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