Match Info

Date: 8 January 2021, Friday


	Zaragoza		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	2	3	4.33	Watch
	2	3.1	4
	2	3.15	4.1	Watch
	2	3	4
	2.06	3.19	4.34
	2	3	4.2
	2.05	3.18	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.06)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)	4.15 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
46.8%

Draw
30.5%

UD Logroñés
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

30.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

23.7%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zaragoza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.5%	23.9%	19.6%

Zaragoza - UD Logroñés Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 26 - 56.5%). Logroñés will win (votes: 9 - 19.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 23.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 42.2% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Zaragoza has a good chance of relegated (67%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Logroñés has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Zaragoza is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Logroñés is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Logroñés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zaragoza have a series of guest games.

In this match Zaragoza is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.21	Alcorcón - Zaragoza	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.21	Cartagena - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
19.12.20	Zaragoza - Lugo	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Zaragoza	0:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.20	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWWL
- UD Logroñés
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.21	UD Logroñés - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
20.12.20	Málaga - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Amorebieta - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.20	UD Logroñés - Espanyol	0:3 ✺
10.12.20	Girona - UD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.17	UD Logroñés - Zaragoza	1:1

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