Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 25

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)


	Alcorcón		Unionistas de Salamanca

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	4.75
	1.72	3.1	4.6
	1.75	3.1	4.65
	1.76	3.3	5.17
	1.76	3.28	4.95
	1.78	3.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.64)	3.2 (3.2)	4.77 ↓ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
52.2%

Draw
28.6%

Unionistas de Salamanca
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

28.6%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

18.7%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcorcón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Alcorcón - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Unionistas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unionistas is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alcorcón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alcorcón is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.02.23	Celta de Vigo B - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Alcorcón - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcorcón	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Alcorcón - Linense	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Badajoz - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTTL
- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.02.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Linares Deportivo - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:3 ✺
05.02.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Algeciras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.12.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Alcorcón	2:1

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