Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 9

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Alcoyano		Antequera

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.98	3	3.5
	2.01	3.2	3.7
	2.1	3	3.94
	2.01	3.02	3.85	Watch
	2.02	3.1	3.78
	2.01	3.2	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.82)	3.09 ↓ (3.34)	3.72 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
45.6%

Draw
29.7%

Antequera
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.5%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

26.8%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Antequera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcoyano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Alcoyano - Antequera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia M. (G) 14. Anton J. 18. Atienza P. 12. Granero B. 4. Farru 6. Garcia I. 20. Undabarrena E. 10. Lara J. A. 23. Pastrana V. 11. Ferni 19. Losada M.	13. Lario J. (G) 12. Fomeyem F. 23. Luengo Herrera L. M. 4. Perez I. 22. Ortega I. 18. Belza J. 29. Topo 6. Toni Arranz 10. Nunez C. 7. Luismi Gutierrez 9. Ribeiro
Substitutes
5. Albisua H. 21. Cellou M. 2. Ferriz P. 17. Lopez S. 8. Molina D. 15. Morgado P. 9. Niang M. 3. Rodriguez A. 22. Rojo J. 13. Valens J. (G)	30. Alcover D. (G) 20. Aspra J. 21. Biabiany J. 3. Carrion J. 16. Elejalde I. 19. Fernandez X. 2. Maffeo V. 5. Marcelo A. 15. Moreno A. 1. Moreno I. (G) 17. Obounet M. 14. Rubio A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Ribeiro ⚽,
33', Fomeyem F. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Ferni (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Anton J. 🟨,
58', Lara J. A. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
62', Topo ↓, Elejalde I. ↑,
62', Ribeiro ↓, Fernandez X. ↑,
65', Losada M. 🟨,
69', Belza J. ↓, Marcelo A. ↑,
69', Toni Arranz ↓, Biabiany J. ↑,
77', Luengo Herrera L. M. 🟨,
78', Ferni ↓, Cellou M. ↑,
78', Pastrana V. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
88', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Alcoyano is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Antequera is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcoyano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alcoyano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcoyano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.10.24	Fuenlabrada - Alcoyano	0:2 ✺
04.10.24	Alcoyano - Marbella	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Ibiza - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Alcoyano - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Intercity - Alcoyano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWLWW
- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.10.24	Antequera - Marbella	3:1 ✺
12.10.24	Antequera - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Hércules - Antequera	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Antequera - Intercity	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Sevilla B - Antequera	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.03.24	Antequera - Alcoyano	0:0
14.01.24	Alcoyano - Antequera	2:1

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