Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 32

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Alcoyano		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.15	2.9	3.1
	2.22	3	3.4
	2.19	2.99	3.37	Watch
	2.21	2.94	3.46
	2.22	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.17)	2.97 ↑ (2.97)	3.33 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
41.8%

Draw
30.8%

Fuenlabrada
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

30.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.7%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Alcoyano - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia M. (G) 14. Anton J. 18. Atienza P. 2. Ferriz P. 17. Lopez S. 6. Garcia I. 8. Molina D. 24. Qasmi Y. 23. Pastrana V. 9. de Palmas R. 19. Losada M.	1. Diaz L. (G) 17. Ouacharaf B. 5. Alba D. 6. Alvaro Garcia 20. Casas I. 8. Ruiz Fer 16. Aguza S. 15. Moyano A. 11. Abde 9. Omoigui C. 7. Manu
Substitutes
5. Albisua H. 15. Blanco C. 4. Farru 7. Herrera C. 10. Lara J. A. 3. Rodriguez A. 20. Undabarrena E. 13. Valens J. (G) 22. Velazquez D.	14. Barbosa A. 3. Barbu 13. Bloch F. (G) 23. Chang-Sang J. 19. Faure I. 10. Galindo A. 4. Mauro M. 21. Nene 12. Pinan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Losada M. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Manu ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Pastrana V. ⚽,
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 2 - 2, Abde ⚽,
55', 🟨,
56', Ferriz P. 🟨,
57', 2 - 3, Omoigui C. ⚽,
57', Qasmi Y. ↓, Lara J. A. ↑,
57', de Palmas R. ↓, Albisua H. ↑,
60', 2 - 4, Ruiz Fer ⚽,
69', Molina D. ↓, Farru ↑,
69', Lopez S. ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
70', Manu ↓, Faure I. ↑,
73', 🟨,
73', Alba D. 🟨,
76', Lara J. A. 🟨,
81', Omoigui C. ↓, Barbosa A. ↑,
81', Abde ↓, Galindo A. ↑,
89', 🟨,
89', Aguza S. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Alcoyano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fuenlabrada is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcoyano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alcoyano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.04.25	Ceuta - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Alcoyano - Mérida AD	2:3 ✺
23.03.25	Marbella - Alcoyano	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Sevilla B - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Alcoyano - Hércules	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLL
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.04.25	Fuenlabrada - Marbella	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Villarreal B - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Fuenlabrada - Sevilla B	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Real Murcia - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Fuenlabrada - Algeciras	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.10.24	Fuenlabrada - Alcoyano	0:2

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