Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Palmar (Sanlúcar de Barrameda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Atlético Sanluqueño		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.18	3.15	3.3
	2.19	3.1	3.53
	2.16	3.08	3.34	Watch
	2.17	3.13	3.31
	2.18	3.15	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.87)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	3.31 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Sanluqueño
42.5%

Draw
29.8%

Alcoyano
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

28%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

27.5%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Sanluqueño's form might have worsened.

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Sanluqueño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-5%)

Atlético Sanluqueño - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez S. (G) 18. Kikin 5. Puerto A. 20. Amoah I. 3. Martinez A. 14. El Arbaoui Y. 30. Bouare G. 11. Guti A. 10. Vacas L. 9. Vazquez B. 21. El Ftouhi S.	13. Valens J. (G) 2. Ferriz P. 18. Atienza P. 4. Farru 14. Anton J. 20. Undabarrena E. 6. Garcia I. 7. Herrera C. 8. Molina D. 23. Pastrana V. 19. Losada M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 🟨,
12', El Ftouhi S. 🟨,
16', 🟨,
27', 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Pastrana V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 🟨,
55', Bouare G. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
55', El Arbaoui Y. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Molina D. ⚽,
63', 🟨,
87', 0 - 3, de Palmas R. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Sanluqueño has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alcoyano has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Alcoyano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sanluqueño might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sanluqueño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.04.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Intercity	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Algeciras - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Antequera	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTTLW
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.04.25	Alcoyano - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Atlético Madrid B - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Alcoyano - Fuenlabrada	2:4 ✺
06.04.25	Ceuta - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Alcoyano - Mérida AD	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.12.24	Alcoyano - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:2
04.05.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Alcoyano	1:0
27.08.23	Alcoyano - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:1
30.01.22	Alcoyano - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:0
10.10.21	Atlético Sanluqueño - Alcoyano	2:2

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