Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 17

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)


	Alcoyano		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	2.88	Watch
	2.4	2.75	2.87
	2.6	2.75	2.8
	2.44	2.8	2.9
	2.59	2.74	3.2
	2.5	2.75	3
	2.43	2.9	2.97
	2.46	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.22)	2.79 ↓ (2.88)	2.94 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
36.5%

Draw
32.6%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

31.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

31.2%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Alcoyano - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gimnàstic will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcoyano won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.12.22	Intercity - Alcoyano	4:1 ✺
08.12.22	Alcoyano - Athletic Bilbao B	3:3 ✺
04.12.22	Real Murcia - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
26.11.22	Alcoyano - Calahorra	3:0 ✺
20.11.22	Real Sociedad B - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLWT
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.12.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Barcelona B	1:0 ✺
08.12.22	Osasuna B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0 ✺
04.12.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:3 ✺
19.11.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Castellón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.05.22	Alcoyano - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1
24.09.21	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Alcoyano	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
02.05.21	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Alcoyano	1:0
11.04.21	Alcoyano - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1
22.02.15	Alcoyano - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0
05.10.14	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Alcoyano	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
10.09.14	Alcoyano - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0

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