Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Recreation Ground (Aldershot)


	Aldershot Town		Maidenhead United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.88
	2.1	3.4	2.8
	2.2	3.6	2.95
	2.25	3.68	2.96
	2.23	3.62	2.94	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.4
	2.2	3.54	2.93
	2.2	3.6	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.94)	3.57 ↓ (3.61)	2.98 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
43%

Draw
25.9%

Maidenhead United
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

25.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

25.4%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aldershot Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-5%)

Aldershot Town - Maidenhead United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Dewhurst M. (G) 21. Akpan A. 9. Corbett K. 23. Ghandour H. 3. Harfield O. (C) 7. Hargreaves C. 27. Henry J. 5. Maghoma C. 25. Menayese R. 18. Scott O. 6. Widdrington T.	13. Ross C. (G) 23. Abrahams T. 19. Cochrane O. 8. Ferguson N. 15. Johnson J. 6. Latty-Fairweather T. 5. Lokko K. 24. Massey A. (C) 11. Mitchell-Lawson J. 16. Pettit C. 17. Smith R.
Substitutes
22. Barham J. 14. Bray O. 2. Byrd L. 17. Jones A. 11. Jones R. 34. Tetek D. 1. van Stappershoef J. (G)	32. Ajose J. 7. Carvalho R. 1. Collins H. (G) 4. De Havilland W. 12. Keetch B. 9. McCoulsky S. . Welch-Hayes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Henry J. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Abrahams T. ⚽,
38', Johnson J. ↓, Keetch B. ↑,
39', Menayese R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
57', 2 - 1, Scott O. ⚽,
59', 2 - 2, Abrahams T. ⚽,
62', 3 - 2, Corbett K. ⚽,
64', Corbett K. ↓, Barham J. ↑,
70', Mitchell-Lawson J. ↓, Carvalho R. ↑,
70', Cochrane O. ↓, Welch-Hayes M. ↑,
72', 4 - 2, Ghandour H. ⚽,
76', Widdrington T. ↓, Tetek D. ↑,
78', 4 - 3, Lokko K. ⚽,
80', Pettit C. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
90+3', Scott O. ↓, Byrd L. ↑,
90+4', Ghandour H. ↓, Bray O. ↑,
90+5', Henry J. ↓, Jones R. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 1.

Recent matches Aldershot is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maidenhead is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aldershot will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldershot won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
26.08.24	Tamworth - Aldershot Town	3:2 ✺
24.08.24	Aldershot Town - Oldham Athletic	4:1 ✺
20.08.24	Braintree Town - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Halifax Town - Aldershot Town	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Aldershot Town - Forest Green Rovers	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWT
- Maidenhead United
English National League
26.08.24	Maidenhead United - Barnet	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Fylde - Maidenhead United	0:0 ✺
20.08.24	Maidenhead United - Altrincham	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Solihull Moors - Maidenhead United	2:1 ✺
10.08.24	Maidenhead United - Eastleigh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.03.24	Maidenhead United - Aldershot Town	4:0
24.10.23	Aldershot Town - Maidenhead United	4:2
14.03.23	Maidenhead United - Aldershot Town	1:1
12.11.22	Aldershot Town - Maidenhead United	1:2
02.05.22	Maidenhead United - Aldershot Town	2:2
08.01.22	Aldershot Town - Maidenhead United	1:1
23.02.21	Maidenhead United - Aldershot Town	2:4

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