Match Info

National League - Round 33

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tamworth		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.25
	2.78	3.5	2.3
	2.9	3.62	2.33
	2.65	3.51	2.46	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.3
	2.79	3.65	2.29
	2.9	3.5	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.46)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	2.32 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
33.4%

Draw
26.4%

Aldershot Town
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

25.8%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

25.7%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Tamworth - Aldershot Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aldershot (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh J. (G) 12. Rye J. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. (C) 5. Digie K. 11. Fairlamb L. 14. Mols S. 4. Tonks T. 42. Kurtaran T. 45. Howley R. 39. Creaney D. 46. Isichei D.	41. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 19. Hill R. (C) 15. Grogan C. 33. Inwood S. 22. Scott O. 12. Anderson K. 14. Meerholz J. 7. Hargreaves C. 24. Warren C. 29. Patton S. 23. Ghandour H.
Substitutes
24. Acquaye B. 6. Bates A. 3. Cockerill-Mollett C. 27. Lynch O. 8. Milnes B. 13. Rachel D. (G) 20. Roberts T.	17. Henry J. 39. Hughes K. 4. Jenkins L. 16. Nash P. (G) 27. Nelson T. 11. Peart B. 42. Penney M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Creaney D. 🟥,
16', Kurtaran T. ↓, Lynch O. ↑,
37', Anderson K. 🟨,
45+3', Anderson K. 🟨,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Lynch O. ⚽,
60', Ghandour H. ↓, Peart B. ↑,
61', Meerholz J. ↓, Jenkins L. ↑,
61', Isichei D. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
82', Grogan C. ↓, Henry J. ↑,
87', Tonks T. ↓, Bates A. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Warren C. ⚽,
90+4', Mols S. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19).

Tamworth has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aldershot is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aldershot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tamworth has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tamworth won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:11. (average 1.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tamworth won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Aldershot	13	5	3	5	18:16	2	18
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21:30	-9	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League
10.02.26	Morecambe - Tamworth	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Tamworth - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
31.01.26	Tamworth - Marine	0:1 penalties ✺
English National League Cup
27.01.26	Tamworth - Halifax Town	1:0 ✺
English National League
24.01.26	Tamworth - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLWL
- Aldershot Town
English National League
07.02.26	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Hartlepool United - Aldershot Town	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	1:4 ✺
10.01.26	Aldershot Town - Solihull Moors	1:5 ✺
30.12.25	Aldershot Town - Wealdstone	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.10.25	Aldershot Town - Tamworth	1:2
25.01.25	Aldershot Town - Tamworth	2:2
26.08.24	Tamworth - Aldershot Town	3:2
08.03.14	Tamworth - Aldershot Town	1:0
21.12.13	Aldershot Town - Tamworth	6:0

Tamworth - Aldershot Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide