Match Info

National League - Round 18

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Recreation Ground (Aldershot)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Aldershot Town		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.75	1.7
	3.95	3.8	1.75
	4.2	4.08	1.75
	4.69	3.66	1.69	Watch
	4.26	3.68	1.69	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↓ (4.8)	3.76 ↑ (3.55)	1.7 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
21.5%

Draw
24.5%

Forest Green Rovers
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

25.8%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

24.5%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Aldershot Town - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Forest Green (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nash P. (G) 28. Taylor A. 25. Nightingale W. 5. Jackson B. 33. Inwood S. 8. Frost T. 14. Gilligan C. 34. Tetek D. 7. Hargreaves C. 11. Jones R. 9. Thomas K.	1. Isted H. (G) 24. Buyabu J. 32. Kanu A. 5. Inniss R. (C) 6. Mendy L. 25. Whitwell H. 16. Bunker H. 11. Knowles T. 17. Dausch A. 14. Clarke J. 7. McAllister K.
Substitutes
30. Abrahams T. 12. Anderson K. 36. Armitage W. 1. Dewhurst M. (G) 24. Mullins M. 42. Penney M. 18. Rai K.	27. Babalola T. 8. Haughton N. 3. Kengni N. 18. Moore I. 15. Moore-Taylor J. 12. Pagel F. (G) 21. Pemberton T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', Buyabu J. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, McAllister K. ⚽, Clarke J. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Clarke J. ⚽, Dausch A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Frost T. ↓, Rai K. ↑,
46', Jackson B. ↓, Armitage W. ↑,
46', Tetek D. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
50', Jones R. 🟨,
59', Dausch A. ↓, Babalola T. ↑,
61', 0 - 3, McAllister K. ⚽, Mendy L. (A),
68', 1 - 3, Gilligan C. ⚽,
71', 2 - 3, Thomas K. ⚽, Jones R. (A),
73', Clarke J. ↓, Kengni N. ↑,
73', Knowles T. ↓, Pemberton T. ↑,
86', Gilligan C. ↓, Abrahams T. ↑,
88', McAllister K. ↓, Moore-Taylor J. ↑,
88', Buyabu J. ↓, Moore I. ↑,
89', Inwood S. ↓, Penney M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 0.

Aldershot has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Forest Green has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Forest Green may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Forest Green is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Aldershot won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1.2:2.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Forest Green Rovers - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.1%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
04.11.25	Boreham Wood - Aldershot Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Weston-super-Mare - Aldershot Town	2:1 ET ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Scunthorpe United - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Aldershot Town - Southampton U21	3:4 penalties ✺
English National League
18.10.25	Aldershot Town - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Forest Green Rovers
English FA Cup
31.10.25	Luton Town - Forest Green Rovers	4:3 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Forest Green Rovers - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Forest Green Rovers - Leicester City U21	2:3 penalties ✺
English National League
18.10.25	Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers	4:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.10.25	Worthing - Forest Green Rovers	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
21.12.24	Forest Green Rovers - Aldershot Town	1:1
10.08.24	Aldershot Town - Forest Green Rovers	3:3
05.11.16	Forest Green Rovers - Aldershot Town	2:1
04.10.16	Aldershot Town - Forest Green Rovers	0:4
25.03.16	Forest Green Rovers - Aldershot Town	0:0
07.10.15	Aldershot Town - Forest Green Rovers	0:3
03.04.15	Forest Green Rovers - Aldershot Town	1:3

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