Match Info

National League - Round 12

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: The Shay (Halifax)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Halifax Town		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	3.4
	1.92	3.8	3.3
	1.96	3.97	3.44
	1.12	8.54	15.18	Watch
	1.98	3.64	3.3
	1.93	3.55	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.92)	4.53 ↑ (3.55)	5.36 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halifax Town
57.7%

Draw
22.9%

Aldershot Town
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halifax Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Halifax Town's performance.

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aldershot Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Halifax Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aldershot Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Halifax Town - Aldershot Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Halifax (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnson S. (G) 17. Bray O. 11. Capello A. 10. Cooke J. 9. Harris W. 8. Hmami J. 5. Hobson S. 4. Hugill W. 16. Mills J. 29. Tarima S. 27. Turner-Cooke J.	1. Dewhurst M. (G) 30. Abrahams T. 10. Barrett J. (C) 32. Clarridge J. 7. Hargreaves C. 17. Henry J. 19. Hill R. 11. Jones R. 14. Meerholz J. 28. Taylor A. 34. Tetek D.
Substitutes
3. Alimi-Adetoro A. 31. Devonport O. 12. Ford N. (G) 20. Jenkins J. 22. Kawa D. 36. Latty-Fairweather T. 19. Warburton A.	23. Ghandour H. 5. Jackson B. 24. Mullins M. 16. Nash P. (G) 15. Penman C. 18. Rai K. 9. Thomas K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Harris W. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Cooke J. ⚽, Hobson S. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Clarridge J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', Tarima S. 🟨,
55', Taylor A. 🟨,
58', Henry J. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Cooke J. ⚽, Bray O. (A),
70', Hugill W. ↓, Latty-Fairweather T. ↑,
70', Bray O. ↓, Jenkins J. ↑,
72', Jenkins J. 🟨,
74', Harris W. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
75', Cooke J. 🟨,
76', Abrahams T. ↓, Ghandour H. ↑,
77', 4 - 1, Hmami J. ⚽,
82', Capello A. ↓, Kawa D. ↑,
82', Hmami J. ↓, Warburton A. ↑,
85', Clarridge J. ↓, Jackson B. ↑,
85', Tetek D. ↓, Penman C. ↑,
85', Barrett J. ↓, Rai K. ↑,
89', Thomas K. 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 2, Ghandour H. ⚽, Jones R. (A),
90+6', Hill R. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Halifax won 2.

Halifax is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Aldershot has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Halifax might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Halifax won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Halifax won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Halifax Town
English National League
24.09.25	Morecambe - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Gateshead - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Halifax Town - Eastleigh	2:2 ✺
English National League Cup
09.09.25	Halifax Town - Middlesbrough U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
06.09.25	Southend United - Halifax Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTWL
- Aldershot Town
English National League
24.09.25	Aldershot Town - Yeovil Town	1:4 ✺
20.09.25	Aldershot Town - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Carlisle United - Aldershot Town	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Aldershot Town - Brackley Town	2:2 ✺
03.09.25	Truro City - Aldershot Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
14.12.24	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	3:4
17.08.24	Halifax Town - Aldershot Town	0:1
03.02.24	Halifax Town - Aldershot Town	1:2
25.11.23	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	1:0
28.03.23	Halifax Town - Aldershot Town	2:0
English FA Trophy
11.03.23	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	0:2
English National League
17.09.22	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	5:1

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