Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 8

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)


	Aldosivi		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.25
	2.1	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.23	3.13	3.72
	2.23	2.99	3.72
	2.05	3.25	3.4
	2.06	3.32	3.42
	2.11	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.2)	3.21 ↑ (2.86)	3.47 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
44%

Draw
29.1%

Alvarado
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

32.4%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

31.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Aldosivi - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carranza J. (C) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Soto G. 6. Mottes G. 3. Godoy F. 5. Pineiro G. 9. Colazo A. 8. Esponda M. 7. Sosa A. 10. Torres E. 11. Lamendola N.	1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Bettini M. 2. Robledo A. 6. Ortiz N. D. 3. Monzon L. 5. Leyes N. (C) 7. Gonzalez S. 8. Jaurena S. 10. Vadala G. 9. Franco L. 11. Lamardo G.
Substitutes
20. Andrada F. 12. Atamanuk C. (G) 18. Enriquez I. 14. Guerrico I. 13. Iniguez E. 16. Lujan S. 15. Sills J. 17. Ubeda S.	15. Aleo A. 18. Barbieri M. 17. Boasso F. 12. Finochietto L. (G) 14. Malagueno F. 16. Mansilla M. 20. Rebecchi L. 19. Sanchez G. 13. Tecilla N.
Coaches
Yllana A.	Giganti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Ortiz N. D. 🟨,
43', Bettini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Torres E. ↓, Andrada F. ↑,
67', Torres S. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,
71', Esponda M. 🟨,
72', Robledo A. 🟨,
74', Sosa A. ↓, Alonso A. ↑,
74', Esponda M. ↓, Ubeda S. ↑,
79', Vadala G. ↓, Mansilla M. ↑,
79', Franco L. ↓, Rebecchi L. ↑,
89', Lamendola N. ↓, Lujan S. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Aldosivi is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Alvarado is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aldosivi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.03.24	Aldosivi - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Colón - Aldosivi	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Aldosivi - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
27.02.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Aldosivi - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTTWW
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.03.24	Racing de Córdoba - Alvarado	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Alvarado - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Tristán Suárez - Alvarado	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Alvarado - All Boys	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Agropecuario Argentino - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTWT

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