The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aldosivi 28.2%
Draw 31.9%
Atlético Tucumán 39.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.2%
32%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
33.3%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aldosivi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Tucumán, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
20%
80%
Aldosivi - Atlético Tucumán Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Tucumán: 55.2% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Tucumán (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/E Goals, 2nd Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Atlético Tucumán (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
BTTS - yes (2.25) (votes: 86%) ⭐ Best Value.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Tucumán (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Acosta L. (G) 14. Lopez E. 25. Breitenbruch N. 32. Pombo J. 13. Cufre B. 5. Linares N. 8. Garcia M. 19. Castro L. 10. Gaitan N. (C) 27. Fernandez T. 9. Cordero N.
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 24. Di Placido L. 6. Ferrari G. 36. Vallejo L. 21. Galvan I. 19. Vega L. 11. Tesuri R. (C) 31. Godoy L. 5. Fernandez J. 23. Lamendola N. 9. Diaz L.
Substitutes
24. Anso F. 23. Chicco I. (G) 16. Dadin B. 4. Gonzalez R. 7. Guzman N. 17. Laurelli F. 28. Moya S. 11. Palavecino A. 15. Perruzzi F. 2. Sigali L. 33. Zalazar N.
30. Brondo M. 14. Canelo A. 34. Carrizo M. 28. Compagnucci G. 25. Durso T. (G) 27. Granillo R. 8. Ham E. 32. Infante J. 22. Pimienta F. 17. Rodriguez J. 18. Ruiz R. 3. Villa M.
Coaches
Sanguinetti J.
Falcioni J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Breitenbruch N. ↓, Sigali L. ↑,
45', Lopez E. ↓, Moya S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cordero N. ↓, Palavecino A. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Fernandez T. ⚽, Moya S. (A),
59', Tesuri R. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
60', Lamendola N. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
73', Castro L. ↓, Perruzzi F. ↑,
73', Fernandez T. ↓, Anso F. ↑,
75', Galvan I. ↓, Infante J. ↑,
75', Fernandez J. ↓, Granillo R. ↑,
90+3', Perruzzi F. 🟨,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th and 8th in the Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Playoffs1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 1.
Aldosivi is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Atlético Tucumán have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Aldosivi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Aldosivi: Cufre B.
(Inactive)
Moyano S.
(Knee Injury)
Palavecino A.
(Inactive)
Sigali L.
(Inactive)
Sosa A.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M.
(Calf Injury)
Franco N.
(Red Card)
Martin Benitez
(Muscle Injury)
Ortiz K.
(Inactive)
Suso G.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Aldosivi has recorded 1 win, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:10 (averaging 0.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aldosivi against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:3 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Tucumán - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.81%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
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Acosta L. (G) 
Ham E. 
Villa M. 
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