Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 23

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports


	Aldosivi		Atlanta Buenos Aires

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.9	3.4
	2.25	2.87	3.2
	2.35	2.9	3.25
	2.42	2.9	3.43
	2.39	2.86	3.36	Watch
	2.25	2.88	3.4
	2.32	2.93	3.27
	2.28	2.85	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.07)	2.89 ↓ (3)	3.34 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
39.9%

Draw
32.2%

Atlanta Buenos Aires
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

31.1%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

30.6%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aldosivi's form might have worsened.

Atlanta Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aldosivi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Aldosivi - Atlanta Buenos Aires Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aldosivi: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atamanuk C. (G) 10. Alonso A. 9. Colazo A. 4. Gonzalez R. 3. Guerrico I. 11. Lamendola N. 7. Larralde V. 8. Lujan S. 6. Mottes G. 5. Sills J. 2. Soto G.	1. Sanchez A. (G) 5. Arce C. 7. Bisanz F. 8. Dramisino A. 6. Evangelista F. 4. Flores L. 2. Gissi D. 10. Gonzalez M. 11. Marinucci L. 3. Silva T. 9. Susvielles J.
Coaches
Yllana A.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Alonso A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Larralde V. ↓, Esponda M. ↑,
62', Marinucci L. ↓, Canete J. ↑,
62', Gonzalez M. ↓, Medina N. ↑,
62', Bisanz F. ↓, Previtali N. ↑,
74', Arce C. ↓, Costantino I. ↑,
76', Lamendola N. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
83', Susvielles J. ↓, Lattanzio C. ↑,
87', Alonso A. ↓, Iniguez E. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Lujan S. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Evangelista F. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Aldosivi is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Atlanta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aldosivi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aldosivi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldosivi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.07.24	Defensores Unidos - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	Aldosivi - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
02.06.24	Aldosivi - Chaco For Ever	1:1 ✺
27.05.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWTW
- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.07.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
30.06.24	Colón - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
24.06.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
08.06.24	All Boys - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
03.06.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.02.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Aldosivi	0:2
05.09.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Aldosivi	0:0
22.04.23	Aldosivi - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1

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