Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 21

Date: 30 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Monson Brizuela G. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Aldosivi		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.8	3.5
	2.35	2.75	3.25
	2.35	2.8	3.4
	2.5	2.66	3.64
	2.46	2.66	3.55
	2.3	2.8	3.4
	2.34	2.83	3.35
	2.34	2.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.19)	2.76 ↓ (2.79)	3.44 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
39.2%

Draw
33.7%

Deportivo Madryn
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

33.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

32.2%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aldosivi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

Aldosivi - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carranza J. (G) 4. Iniguez E. 2. Soto G. 6. Mottes G. 3. Guerrico I. 8. Pineiro G. 5. Sills J. 7. Sosa A. 10. Alonso A. 9. Colazo A. 11. Lamendola N.	1. Bonnin Y. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 2. Calderon P. 6. Braghieri D. 3. Moreno A. 8. Peinipil M. 5. Recalde F. 7. Crego D. 10. Sanchez N. 9. Palacio J. 11. Ferreyra B.
Substitutes
12. Atamanuk C. (G) 14. Bellon F. 16. Britez E. 15. Esponda M. 13. Gonzalez A. 18. Gonzalez L. 20. Guzman N. 17. Lujan S. 19. Torres E.	18. Arreguin E. 13. Giacopuzzi F. 20. Gimenez B. 12. Hass J. (G) 16. Jara E. 19. Peinipil J. 17. Perez B. 15. Rojas J. 14. Zuliani H.
Coaches
Yllana A.	Gracian L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Recalde F. 🟨,
44', Pineiro G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pineiro G. ↓, Esponda M. ↑,
58', Sills J. 🟥,
61', Alonso A. ↓, Lujan S. ↑,
68', 🟨,
69', Crego D. ↓, Perez B. ↑,
69', Moreno A. ↓, Zuliani H. ↑,
73', Perez B. 🟨,
73', Ferreyra B. ↓, Peinipil J. ↑,
74', Braghieri D. ↓, Giacopuzzi F. ↑,
76', Peinipil J. 🟥,
79', 1 - 0, Mottes G. ⚽,
82', Zuliani H. 🟨,
84', Lamendola N. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
85', Ardiles F. ↓, Jara E. ↑,
90+1', Iniguez E. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Aldosivi in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Deportivo Madryn is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aldosivi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aldosivi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldosivi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.06.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
02.06.24	Aldosivi - Chaco For Ever	1:1 ✺
27.05.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
19.05.24	Aldosivi - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Brown de Adrogué - Aldosivi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTWWW
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.06.24	Deportivo Madryn - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
09.06.24	Deportivo Madryn - Colón	0:0 ✺
01.06.24	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Deportivo Madryn - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:0 ✺
19.05.24	Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.02.24	Deportivo Madryn - Aldosivi	0:2
10.09.23	Aldosivi - Deportivo Madryn	0:0
29.04.23	Deportivo Madryn - Aldosivi	2:1

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