Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 15

Date: 13 May 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Tres de Febrero (Jose Ingenieros)

Referee: Ceballos D. (Arg)


	Club Almagro		Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.6	Watch
	2.87	2.75	2.6
	3	2.75	2.6	Watch
	3.09	2.75	2.76
	3.09	2.75	2.76
	2.9	2.75	2.6
	2.94	2.74	2.63	Watch
	3	2.75	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3)	2.76 ↑ (2.74)	2.64 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Almagro
31.1%

Draw
33.7%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

33.8%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

33%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	27.3%	72.7%

Club Almagro - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for E Río Cuarto: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Champagne N. (G) 4. Molina M. 2. Mattia F. (C) 6. Falabella L. 3. Punet L. 8. Silva G. 5. Aguilar J. J. 10. Perez P. 7. Orlando J. 9. Dornell T. 11. Vedoya F.	1. Barlasina W. (G) 4. Fenoglio V. 2. Arturia G. (C) 6. Gomez Pereyra M. 3. Abraham L. 8. Cainelli N. 5. Romero F. 7. Blanco J. 10. Gonzalez T. 9. Bonansea A. 11. Villalba G.
Substitutes
12. Barrionuevo L. (G) 16. Conechny R. 14. Gancedo M. 20. Giacone J. C. 18. Leal L. 15. Puca D. 13. Rodriguez L. 17. Troncoso L. 19. Vasquez D.	13. De Vito Y. 20. Galvan F. 15. Gatani M. 14. Lapetina L. 19. Reynaga R. 17. Rosales M. 12. Strumia J. (G) 16. Tevez M. 18. Valiente M.
Coaches
Sparapani L.	Matteo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Blanco J. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Bonansea A. (Pen),
62', Perez P. ↓, Leal L. ↑,
73', Gonzalez T. ↓, Gatani M. ↑,
74', Abraham L. ↓, De Vito Y. ↑,
76', Dornell T. ↓, Troncoso L. ↑,
76', Aguilar J. J. ↓, Conechny R. ↑,
84', Bonansea A. ↓, Galvan F. ↑,
84', Villalba G. ↓, Valiente M. ↑,
85', Punet L. ↓, Vasquez D. ↑,
86', Orlando J. ↓, Giacone J. C. ↑,
90', Cainelli N. ↓, Tevez M. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Almagro is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Almagro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Almagro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Almagro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.24	Colón - Club Almagro	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	Club Almagro - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Club Almagro	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Club Almagro - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Deportivo Madryn - Club Almagro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLTL
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Copa Argentina
08.05.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Temperley - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Morón	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.07.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Club Almagro	1:0
25.02.23	Club Almagro - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0
21.08.22	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Club Almagro	1:0

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