Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 25

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play


	Aldosivi		Colón

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.8	2.88	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.6
	2.8	2.8	2.75	Watch
	2.87	2.79	2.92
	2.83	2.78	2.83	Watch
	2.8	2.88	2.62
	2.74	2.85	2.71
	2.8	2.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.17)	2.81 ↓ (3.02)	2.76 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
33.1%

Draw
33.2%

Colón
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

29.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aldosivi's form might have worsened.

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aldosivi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	41.2%	11.8%

Aldosivi - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Colón will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carranza J. (G) 2. Soto G. 4. Gonzalez R. 6. Iniguez E. 3. Guerrico I. 5. Esponda M. 8. Pineiro G. 7. Sosa A. 11. Gonzalez L. 9. Colazo A. 10. Alonso A.	1. Vicentini M. (G) 6. Lopes H. 3. Castet F. 2. Goltz P. 4. Herrera E. 5. Prediger S. 11. Lago I. 8. Garrido O. 10. Bernardi C. 7. Talpone N. 9. Rossi G.
Substitutes
19. Devesa A. 14. Garcia M. 13. Gonzalez A. 12. Gonzalez N. 17. Guzman N. 20. Lamendola N. 15. Larralde V. 16. Lujan S. 18. Torres E.	18. Delgadillo N. 19. Forneris A. 12. Gimenez T. (G) 13. Guille B. 20. Henriquez F. 14. Jourdan F. 15. Navas J. 16. Sabella A. 17. Toledo J.
Coaches
Yllana A.	Delfino I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Garrido O. 🟨,
34', Esponda M. 🟨,
36', 🟨,
37', Pineiro G. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Alonso A. ⚽,
42', Castet F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Garrido O. ↓, Jourdan F. ↑,
62', Colazo A. ↓, Lujan S. ↑,
65', Rossi G. ↓, Toledo J. ↑,
65', Talpone N. ↓, Guille B. ↑,
72', Pineiro G. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
72', Alonso A. ↓, Lamendola N. ↑,
79', Gonzalez L. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
79', Sosa A. ↓, Larralde V. ↑,
87', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90', Bernardi C. ↓, Delgadillo N. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+6', Guille B. 🟥,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldosivi won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.07.24	Almirante Brown - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Aldosivi - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Defensores Unidos - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	Aldosivi - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWW
- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.07.24	Colón - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	3:0 ✺
14.07.24	Patronato Parana - Colón	1:0 ✺
07.07.24	Almirante Brown - Colón	0:0 ✺
30.06.24	Colón - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Defensores Unidos - Colón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.03.24	Colón - Aldosivi	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.07.22	Colón - Aldosivi	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
31.03.22	Colón - Aldosivi	1:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.08.21	Aldosivi - Colón	3:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.03.21	Colón - Aldosivi	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.12.19	Colón - Aldosivi	0:2
15.03.19	Aldosivi - Colón	3:0

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