The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almirante Brown 31.8%
Draw 33.8%
Aldosivi 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.5%
32.3%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.4%
30.9%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almirante Brown's performance.
Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aldosivi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almirante Brown that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aldosivi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
50%
37.5%
Almirante Brown - Aldosivi Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Almirante Brown will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Aldosivi will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martinez R. (C) 2. Errecalde G. 3. Ochoa A. 4. Mino F. 6. Quiroz L. 5. Cenci B. 8. Gauna S. 10. Vera S. 11. Ibanez J. 7. Diaz T. 9. Gonzalez R.
1. Atamanuk C. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Soto G. 6. Mottes G. 3. Guerrico I. 5. Sills J. (C) 8. Lujan S. 7. Sosa A. 11. Lamendola N. 10. Alonso A. 9. Colazo A.
Substitutes
16. Acosta N. 17. Almada T. 20. Bonacci P. 14. Cardozo E. 18. Fernandez B. 12. Ferreyra N. (G) 15. Iglesias L. 19. Portillo S. 13. Varela C.
14. Britez E. 17. Devesa A. 15. Esponda M. 20. Gonzalez L. 12. Gonzalez N. 19. Guzman N. 13. Iniguez E. 16. Larralde V. 18. Torres E.
Coaches
Bazan Vera D.
Yllana A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Errecalde G. 🟨,
25', Cenci B. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Gauna S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cenci B. ↓, Acosta N. ↑,
57', Lamendola N. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
67', Ibanez J. ↓, Portillo S. ↑,
67', Diaz T. ↓, Iglesias L. ↑,
68', Alonso A. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
75', Sills J. ↓, Esponda M. ↑,
75', Mottes G. ↓, Iniguez E. ↑,
77', Vera S. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
77', Ochoa A. ↓, Cardozo E. ↑,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Recent matches Almirante Brown is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Aldosivi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Almirante Brown have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Almirante Brown won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.