The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aldosivi 37.3%
Draw 31.2%
Sarmiento de Junín 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
29.8%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
30.3%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Aldosivi - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 14th and 7th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 0.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Sarmiento could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Aldosivi has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:16 (averaging 0.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aldosivi against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).
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