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Current Win Probability
Aldosivi 36.8%
Draw 30.8%
Sarmiento de Junín 32.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.2%
29.8%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
30.3%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Aldosivi - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Chicco I. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Sigali L. (C) 33. Zalazar N. 13. Cufre B. 10. Gaitan N. 5. Linares N. 19. Castro L. 11. Palavecino A. 8. Garcia M. 9. Cordero N.
12. Ayala T. (G) 20. Gimenez U. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 3. Suarez L. 23. Gimenez E. 15. Zabala C. 16. Martinez M. 10. Renteria J. 27. Marabel J. 21. Mavilla J.
Substitutes
24. Anso F. 41. Baez K. (G) 25. Breitenbruch N. 80. Chavez L. 16. Dadin B. 27. Fernandez T. 21. Godoy M. 7. Guzman N. 17. Laurelli F. 28. Moya S. 15. Perruzzi F.
1. Arboleda I. (G) 6. Arturia G. 19. Contrera J. 33. Diaz G. 5. Garcia M. 11. Gonzalez G. 24. Herrera J. 7. Magnin P. 17. Nadruz A. 77. Pasquini N. 8. Salle S. 29. Santamaria T.
Coaches
Sanguinetti J.
Sava F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Marabel J. ⚽, Renteria J. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Castro L. ⚽, Garcia M. (A),
27', Sanguinetti J. 🟨,
29', Zalazar N. 🟨,
29', Sigali L. 🟨,
32', Gonzalez R. ↓, Moya S. ↑,
33', Martinez M. 🟨,
38', Suarez L. 🟨,
45+1', Castro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Linares N. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
51', Gimenez U. 🟨,
58', Gimenez U. ↓, Salle S. ↑,
58', Gimenez E. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
62', Renteria J. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
65', Cordero N. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
77', Martinez M. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
78', Marabel J. ↓, Magnin P. ↑,
79', Gaitan N. ↓, Dadin B. ↑,
81', Fernandez T. 🟨,
83', Garcia M. 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, Mavilla J. ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
89', 1 - 3, Herrera J. ⚽, Ayala T. (A),
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 14th and 7th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 0.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Sarmiento could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N.
(Injury)
Fernandez T.
(Inactive)
Lopez E.
(Injury)
Moyano S.
(Knee Injury)
Pombo J.
(Red Card)
Sosa A.
(Foot Injury)
Vales M.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Sarmiento: Godoy J.
(Knee Injury)
Seyral A.
(Knee Injury)
Villalba C.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Sarmiento: Suarez L.
(Inactive).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Aldosivi has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:16 (averaging 0.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aldosivi against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).
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Chicco I. (G) 
Orihuela R. 
Renteria J. 
Marabel J. 
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