Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 8

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday


	Alessandria		Atalanta U23

	1	X	2
	3	2.95	2.2
	3.25	3	2.3	Watch
	3.45	3	2.27
	3	3	2.25
	3.14	3.02	2.21
	3.1	2.95	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.63)	2.99 ↓ (3)	2.25 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
28.9%

Draw
30.5%

Atalanta U23
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

30.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alessandria's form might have worsened.

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Alessandria - Atalanta U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alessandria will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Atalanta U23 will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alessandria: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Liverani L. (G) 4. Nichetti M. 8. Rota A. 7. Gazoul M. 9. Siafa O. 17. Gega E. 18. Pellegrini L. 21. Nunzella L. 23. Ciancio S. 24. Mastalli A. 66. Sepe A.	95. Vismara P. (G) 2. Palestra M. 3. Del Lungo T. 6. Bonfanti G. 9. Italen J. 11. Cisse M. 23. Ceresoli A. 24. Roaldsoy A. 26. Masi A. 86. Awua T. 99. Mallamo A.
Substitutes
11. Anatriello G. 6. Belgiovine D. 31. Ercolani L. 28. Foresta G. 5. Gentile F. 32. Giubilato L. 53. Molinaro S. 10. Pagliuca M. 14. Pellitteri A. 15. Ronci A. 3. Rossi E. 72. Vaughn C. 16. Virano R. (G)	77. Avogadri L. (G) 4. Berto G. 10. Capone C. 80. Chiwisa M. 20. Di Serio G. 1. Gelmi L. (G) 14. Ghislandi D. 8. Gyabuaa M. 5. Mendicino L. 28. Regonesi I. 90. Rosa A. 19. Sidibe A.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Alessandria is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atalanta U23 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
28.10.23	Trento - Alessandria	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	Alessandria - Pergolettese	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	AlbinoLeffe - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
06.10.23	Mantova - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Alessandria - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TWTLW
- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
28.10.23	Lumezzane - Atalanta U23	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Novara - Atalanta U23	2:3 ✺
20.10.23	Atalanta U23 - Legnago Salus	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Atalanta U23 - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Lumezzane - Atalanta U23	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWTL

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