Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 9

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	AlbinoLeffe		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4
	1.87	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.28	4.63
	1.84	3.28	4.63
	1.83	3.2	4
	1.78	3.28	4.25	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)	3.28 ↑ (3.1)	4.24 (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AlbinoLeffe
50.2%

Draw
28.1%

Alessandria
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

29.3%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

26.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AlbinoLeffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AlbinoLeffe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+2%)

AlbinoLeffe - Alessandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Marietta C. (G) 33. Borghini D. 5. Marchetti S. 44. Gatti R. 16. Gusu M. 6. Doumbia I. 8. Brentan M. 3. Zanini M. 10. Piccoli M. 11. Zoma M. A. 60. Arrighini A.	1. Liverani L. (G) 23. Ciancio S. (C) 8. Rota A. 32. Giubilato L. 18. Pellegrini L. 4. Nichetti M. 24. Mastalli A. 21. Nunzella L. 14. Pellitteri A. 9. Siafa O. 7. Gazoul M.
Substitutes
95. Agostinelli M. 42. Allieri A. 2. Gelli J. 7. Genevier G. 91. Longo S. 13. Milesi L. 72. Moleri L. (G) 27. Munari D. 20. Muzio C. 21. Poletti A. 1. Pratelli L. (G) 17. Toccafondi D.	11. Anatriello G. 6. Belgiovine D. 31. Ercolani L. 28. Foresta G. 17. Gega E. 10. Pagliuca M. 15. Ronci A. 3. Rossi E. 66. Sepe A. 72. Vaughn C. 22. Virano R. (G)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches AlbinoLeffe won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Alessandria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match AlbinoLeffe is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches AlbinoLeffe won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-16.

Including matches at home between the teams AlbinoLeffe won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
13.10.23	AlbinoLeffe - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Atalanta U23 - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
30.09.23	AlbinoLeffe - Legnago Salus	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Mantova - AlbinoLeffe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLLL
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
06.10.23	Mantova - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Alessandria - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
29.09.23	Alessandria - Pro Sesto	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Alessandria - Lumezzane	0:3 ✺
20.09.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Alessandria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
09.06.21	Alessandria - AlbinoLeffe	2:2 ET
06.06.21	AlbinoLeffe - Alessandria	1:2
07.03.21	Alessandria - AlbinoLeffe	2:1
11.11.20	AlbinoLeffe - Alessandria	2:0
Club Friendly
12.09.20	Alessandria - AlbinoLeffe	0:0
Italian Serie C Group A
27.10.19	AlbinoLeffe - Alessandria	4:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
13.12.17	Alessandria - AlbinoLeffe	3:2 penalties

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