Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 7

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Mantova		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.6	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.42	5.72
	1.55	3.6	5.5
	1.57	3.6	5.35
	1.56	3.65	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	3.62 ↑ (3.05)	5.41 ↓ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
58%

Draw
25.2%

Alessandria
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

29.4%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

28.2%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Mantova - Alessandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Festa M. (G) 27. Maggioni T. 13. Brignani F. 5. Redolfi A. 23. Panizzi E. 28. Muroni M. 8. Burrai S. 21. Trimboli S. 14. Galuppini F. 45. Monachello G. 11. Fiori A.	1. Liverani L. (G) 23. Ciancio S. (C) 8. Rota A. 32. Giubilato L. 18. Pellegrini L. 4. Nichetti M. 21. Nunzella L. 3. Rossi E. 24. Mastalli A. 10. Pagliuca M. 11. Anatriello G.
Substitutes
24. Argint G. 6. Bani C. 30. Bragantini D. 4. Celesia C. 9. Debenedetti A. 20. Fedel G. 90. Giacomelli S. 7. Mensah D. 22. Napoli A. 17. Radaelli N. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 18. Suagher E. 10. Wieser D.	6. Belgiovine D. 33. Crivellaro S. 31. Ercolani L. 7. Gazoul M. 27. Ghiozzi M. 19. Manneh K. 26. Ndir M. A. 14. Pellitteri A. 66. Sepe A. 72. Vaughn C. 22. Virano R. (G) 77. Zerbo P.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mantova won 1.

Recent matches Mantova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alessandria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Alessandria have a series of home games.

In this match Mantova is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mantova won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Mantova - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
29.09.23	Triestina - Mantova	4:1 ✺
24.09.23	Mantova - AlbinoLeffe	3:1 ✺
20.09.23	Giana Erminio - Mantova	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Mantova - Pro Sesto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWW
- Alessandria 1912
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Alessandria - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
29.09.23	Alessandria - Pro Sesto	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Alessandria - Lumezzane	0:3 ✺
20.09.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Alessandria	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Alessandria - Padova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
16.04.16	Alessandria - Mantova	0:0
07.12.15	Mantova - Alessandria	0:4
11.01.15	Mantova - Alessandria	2:0
30.08.14	Alessandria - Mantova	1:0
Italian Lega Pro C2/A
28.03.14	Alessandria - Mantova	2:1
24.11.13	Mantova - Alessandria	2:0
05.05.13	Alessandria - Mantova	1:0

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