Match Info

Date: 3 February 2021, Wednesday


	Alessandria		Lecco

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.33
	1.91	3.1	3.8
	1.9	3.1	3.8
	1.79	3.05	4.4
	1.78	3.52	4.94
	1.91	3.25	4
	1.91	3.24	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.99)	3.24 ↑ (3.13)	4.19 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
49.7%

Draw
28.4%

Lecco
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

29.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.3%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alessandria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Alessandria - Lecco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Alessandria is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lecco is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lecco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alessandria is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
30.01.21	Olbia - Alessandria	1:2 ✺
24.01.21	Alessandria - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
20.01.21	Alessandria - Como	0:2 ✺
16.01.21	Pro Patria - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
23.12.20	Pergolettese - Alessandria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLTW
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
30.01.21	Lecco - Livorno	1:0 ✺
24.01.21	Giana Erminio - Lecco	1:1 ✺
17.01.21	AlbinoLeffe - Lecco	0:0 ✺
10.01.21	Lecco - Lucchese	2:2 ✺
23.12.20	Olbia - Lecco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
07.10.20	Lecco - Alessandria	2:1
16.02.20	Alessandria - Lecco	2:1
29.09.19	Lecco - Alessandria	0:2

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