Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 26

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Giana Erminio		Lecco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3	2.58	Watch
	2.69	2.94	2.74
	2.68	2.87	2.73	Watch
	2.63	2.7	2.63
	2.61	2.85	2.64	Watch
	2.71	2.9	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3.05)	2.88 ↓ (3.03)	2.67 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
34.1%

Draw
31.7%

Lecco
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

30.3%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

30.8%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lecco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lecco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Giana Erminio - Lecco Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Giana Erminio will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Giana Erminio (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mazza A. (G) 18. Cannistra P. 6. Ferri L. 19. Duca T. 26. Previtali N. 7. Pinto D. 14. Marotta M. 20. Renda F. 24. Ruffini L. 11. Galeandro A. 29. Samele L.	1. Furlan J. (G) 13. Battistini M. 4. Marrone L. 41. Romani L. 45. Rizzo M. 21. Metlika A. 5. Zanellato N. 17. Pellegrino G. 80. Kritta M. 99. Parker S. 51. Konate I.
Substitutes
33. Albertini A. 32. Azzolari E. 5. Berretta A. 13. Colombara M. 97. Gabbiani G. 37. Lischetti L. 8. Nelli J. 3. Nucifero T. 23. Occhipinti E. 4. Piazza A. 16. Rizzo A. 90. Vitale V. 1. Zenti A. (G)	78. Anastasini J. 79. Arena F. 14. Bonaiti S. 90. Constant G. (G) 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 97. Duca E. 16. Ferrini M. 10. Furrer G. 33. Lovisa N. 20. Mihali L. 73. Nova E. 25. Sipos L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Romani L. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Pellegrino G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pellegrino G. ↓, Bonaiti S. ↑,
46', Duca T. ↓, Vitale V. ↑,
59', Battistini M. ↓, Nova E. ↑,
59', Konate I. ↓, Duca E. ↑,
62', Renda F. ↓, Lischetti L. ↑,
62', Ruffini L. ↓, Nucifero T. ↑,
73', Kritta M. ↓, Furrer G. ↑,
74', Cannistra P. ↓, Piazza A. ↑,
74', Pinto D. ↓, Nelli J. ↑,
89', Nucifero T. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lecco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Giana Erminio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Giana Erminio - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.06%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
07.02.26	Virtus Verona - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
02.02.26	Giana Erminio - Brescia	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Giana Erminio - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Pro Patria - Giana Erminio	0:4 ✺
10.01.26	Giana Erminio - Renate	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWL
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
08.02.26	Lecco - Pro Vercelli	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Trento - Lecco	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Lecco - Inter U23	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Lecco	1:4 ✺
11.01.26	Lecco - Triestina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.09.25	Lecco - Giana Erminio	0:0
31.03.25	Lecco - Giana Erminio	1:0
16.11.24	Giana Erminio - Lecco	1:0
23.02.22	Lecco - Giana Erminio	1:0
11.09.21	Giana Erminio - Lecco	0:1
24.01.21	Giana Erminio - Lecco	1:1
26.09.20	Lecco - Giana Erminio	1:0

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