Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 20

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Novara		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.75
	1.9	3.2	4.2	Watch
	2.02	3.05	4.32
	1.88	3.03	4.32
	1.91	3	3.9
	1.87	3.14	4.21
	1.92	3.1	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.81)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)	4.08 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
47.8%

Draw
29.8%

Alessandria
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

28.4%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

27.5%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Novara - Alessandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Desjardins A. (G) 5. Bonaccorsi S. 26. Boccia S. 15. Khailoti O. 10. Donadio C. 8. Di Munno A. 21. Ranieri R. (C) 16. Calcagni R. 3. Urso O. 33. D'Orazio L. 11. Corti N.	1. Liverani L. (G) 8. Rota A. 31. Ercolani L. 21. Nunzella L. 23. Ciancio S. 24. Mastalli A. 4. Nichetti M. 66. Sepe A. 18. Pellegrini L. 7. Gazoul M. 28. Foresta G.
Substitutes
98. Bagatti N. 6. Bertoncini D. 12. Boscolo Palo G. (G) 32. Caradonna L. 7. Gerardini F. 25. Gerbino S. 79. Lancini E. 22. Menegaldo T. (G) 30. Migliardi F. 4. Prinelli L. 9. Scappini S. 77. Vilhjalmsson A.	11. Anatriello G. 17. Gega E. 30. Gueli D. 26. Mame Ass N. 77. Mangni D. 16. Parrinello T. 14. Pellitteri A. 12. Piana E. (G) 86. Rimbu C. (G) 3. Rossi E. . Salomon A 72. Vaughn C.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Novara won 2.

Recent matches Novara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alessandria is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Novara is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Novara won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
22.12.23	Fiorenzuola - Novara	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Novara - Triestina	2:3 ✺
08.12.23	Legnago Salus - Novara	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Novara - Vicenza Virtus	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Lumezzane - Novara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLTTT
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
22.12.23	Vicenza Virtus - Alessandria	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Alessandria - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
08.12.23	Pro Patria - Alessandria	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Alessandria - Fiorenzuola	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Pro Vercelli - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
04.09.23	Alessandria - Novara	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Alessandria - Novara	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
07.02.21	Novara - Alessandria	2:1
12.10.20	Alessandria - Novara	1:2
02.11.19	Alessandria - Novara	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.10.19	Novara - Alessandria	0:1
Italian Serie C Group A
13.04.19	Novara - Alessandria	0:1

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